Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS State College, PA

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Remove Highlighting --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KCTP 281415 AFDCTP AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1015 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 2015 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE STATE AND DRIFT OFF THE EAST COAST OVER THE WEEKEND. MUCH WARMER WEATHER WILL MOVE INTO REGION FOR THE WEEKEND...AND VERY WARM AND INCREASINGLY HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... THE AREAS OF FOG AND LOW CLOUDS HAVE PRETTY MUCH VANISHED UNDER THE STILL STRONG LATE SUMMER SUN. TODAY WILL BEGIN OUR WARM UP AS HEIGHTS ALOFT START TO BUILD. AFTER SOME EARLY MORNING LARGE STREAM RIVER VALLEY FOG...SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY. MODEL 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS FROM THE 70S OVR MOST OF CENTRAL PA...TO THE L80S ACROSS THE LOWER SUSQ VALLEY...SOME 5-8 DEG WARMER THAN THURSDAY...AND NUDGING NORMAL VALUES FOR LATE AUGUST. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE TO EASTERN PENN TONIGHT. THIS DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL BRING CLEAR TO PTLY CLOUDY SKIES TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. AN INCREASE IN CU WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE ALLEGHENIES OF WESTERN PENN ON SATURDAY...AS PWAT VALUES INCREASE TO NEAR 30MM BY 00Z SUN. SREF PROB OF CAPE EXCEEDING 1000 J/KG IS ZERO THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY...AND MU CAPES ARE AOB 200 J/KG DURING THIS PERIOD. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... CENTRAL PA WILL BE ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF A SURFACE HIGH THIS WEEKEND...RESULTING IN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND THE RETURN OF WARMER...MORE HUMID AIR TO THE REGION. A WEAK DISTURBANCE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL APPROACH FROM THE OHIO VALLEY LATE SUNDAY...AND SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EAST...BUT COULD BRING SOME SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY EVENING INTO MONDAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN MOUNTAINS. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE EASTERN U.S. EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO STAY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK. IT SHOULD ALSO KEEP CENTRAL PA MAINLY DRY...EXCLUDING ISOLATED DIURNAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. && .AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... TERMINALS HAVE ALL IMPROVED TO FR AS OF MID MORNING...AND WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE DAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF PATCHY FOG AND LOW CLOUDS SEEMS LIKELY LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. BUT AS WE WARM UP THE COVERAGE IS NOT LIKELY TO BE AS WIDESPREAD AS THIS MORNING. OUTLOOK... FRI EVE AND SAT...NO SIG WX EXPECTED. SUN-MON...MAINLY VFR WITH A SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE. TUE...NO SIG WX EXPECTED. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...LA CORTE/LAMBERT NEAR TERM...LA CORTE/LAMBERT SHORT TERM...LAMBERT LONG TERM...LAMBERT/HAGNER AVIATION...LA CORTE/CERU

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.