Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS State College, PA

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS61 KCTP 252051
AFDCTP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
451 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK KEEPING
US WARM BUT WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT. DRY WEATHER WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN FOR
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
WEAK SHORTWAVE CRESTING TOP OF UPPER RIDGE IS PRODUCING A PATCH OF
CIRRUS ACROSS CENTRAL PA EARLY THIS EVENING. THESE HIGH CLOUDS
HAVE HELD TEMPS DOWN A BIT AND SUPPRESSED AFTN CU FORMATION. NEAR
TERM MDL DATA INDICATE SHORTWAVE AND ASSOC CIRRUS WILL DRIFT INTO
EASTERN PA THIS EVENING...THEN OUT OF THE AREA BY ARND MIDNIGHT.

MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND A CALM WIND LATER TONIGHT WILL PROMOTE
VALLEY FOG TOWARD MORNING. NO OTHER SENSIBLE WEATHER OF NOTE
EXPECTED. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
AFTER STARTING OUT WITH MORE PATCHY VALLEY FOG...ABUNDANT
SUNSHINE WILL OCCUR AGAIN TUESDAY WITH TEMPS NOSING UPWARD BY A
FEW MORE DEGREES COMPARED TO TODAY`S HIGHS...TOPPING OUT A COUPLE
OF DEG ABOVE NORMAL..GENERALLY IN THE LOW-MID 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE INITIAL PART OF THE EXTENDED WILL FEATURE A BIG RIDGE
DOMINATING THE PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN US...BUT
SLOWLY SINKING SOUTH/BECOMING FLATTENED BY ONE OR TWO PIECES OF
SHORT WAVE ENERGY SCOOTING EAST FROM THE WRN GLAKES REGION.

NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS AT LEAST
THE SE HALF OF THE COMMONWEALTH WEDNESDAY...AS THE RIDGE
MAINTAINS ITS HOLD UNTIL AT LEAST LATER WEDNESDAY-WED NIGHT.

A SFC COLD FRONT DROPS SE FROM THE UPPER GLAKES REGION AND
CROSSES CENTRAL PENN LATE WED INTO EARLY THU MORNING. A BRIEF
PERIOD OF SHRA/SCT TSRA WILL OCCUR ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF
THIS FRONT.

RIDGING AT THE SFC AND ALOFT FOLLOWING THIS FRONT WILL LIKELY
BRING DRIER CONDITIONS FOR LATE THIS WEEK AND THE EARLY PART OF
THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPS.

ANOTHER SHORTWAVE IN THE NORTHERN STREAM FLOW AND ASSOCIATED SFC
FRONTAL SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST
THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL LEAD TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS IN SRLY FLOW
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM AND INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SOME HIGH BASED CU AND LIGHT WINDS MAKING FOR A FINE DAY FOR LOCAL
AVIATION. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING BEFORE
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG LEAD TO LOCAL RESTRICTIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT
THROUGH THE HOURS JUST AFTER SUNRISE.

TUESDAY LOOKS LIKE AN ALMOST CARBON COPY OF TODAY AFTER THE FOG
BURNS OFF.

OUTLOOK...

WED...SCT TSRA IMPACTS POSSIBLE AFTN/EVE.

THU-FRI...NO SIG WX EXPECTED.

SAT...MAINLY VFR BUT WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CAUSING LOCAL RESTRICTIONS.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...LA CORTE
NEAR TERM...FITZGERALD/LA CORTE
SHORT TERM...LA CORTE
LONG TERM...LAMBERT/GARTNER
AVIATION...LA CORTE



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.