Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 012334

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
534 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2015

Issued at 153 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2015

Sunshine across the southern CWA associated with a dry slot ahead of
a deep upper low over north central Iowa will continue to gradually
diminish this evening and overnight. Cloud cover will develop from
the north and extend southward into southern Missouri as the upper
low continues to push east. Gusty southwesterly winds will taper off
around sunset, though with a strong pgf still in place, increased
veering winds will continue overnight. A vort max associated with
the upper low to the north, combined with sufficient moisture, will
provide enough forcing to produce a few snow flurries for the
northern CWA in addition to central Missouri Tuesday night and into
Wednesday morning. No measurable snowfall is expected with this
activity, however. Stratus clouds will linger throughout much of
Wednesday, and with some CAA as winds transition to northwesterly,
afternoon highs for Wednesday will be a few degrees cooler, peaking
in the upper 30s to low 40s. Skies will then begin to clear rapidly
Wednesday evening, and with persisting CAA, overnight lows will drop
into the mid to upper 20s for much of the CWA, with lows in the
lower 20s for northwest Missouri.

The remainder of the week will be generally benign as a building
ridge enters the Central Plains Thursday evening. This will lead to
slightly above normal temperatures for the end of the work week and
abundant sunshine. This trend will continue into the weekend before
another upper low moves into the region early next week. At this
time, precipitation chances are marginal across areas south of the I-
70 corridor , and should anything develop, lower level temperatures
should remain warm enough to support all rain.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 532 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2015

Improved CIGs a bit through the overnight hours after looking at
guidance and forecast soundings. Guidance is much more optimistic
with CIGS 2-3 kft, while sounding analysis indicates saturation
closer to 1 kft. So, will go with MVFR CIGs, but much closer to IFR
than guidance suggests. Expect gradual improvement with CIGs through
the day on Wednesday, with a return to VFR conditions closer to the
end of this forecast time period.


.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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