Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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000 FXUS62 KFFC 200754 AFDFFC AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 354 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014 .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... CHILLY START TO THE PERIOD THIS MORNING WITH SOME OF COOLEST TEMPS STILL EXPECTED...MANY AREAS LOOKING TO DIP INTO THE LOW 40S. SOME LOCATIONS MAY GET LOWER WITH OPTIMAL CONDITIONS FOR RADIATIONAL COOLING LACKING ANY CLOUD COVERAGE...EVEN THE CIRRUS FROM BEFORE. COULD NOT RULE OUT A FEW SPOTTY AREAS OF FROST IN SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTH GA. MODELS IN DECENT CONSENSUS WITH TIMING OF NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH PUSHING INTO THE NORTH BY 00Z THIS EVENING AND WEAK SFC FRONT TRAILING BEHIND. SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE MOISTURE STARVED AND LACKING GOOD LIFT SO HAVE KEPT AREA DRY BUT INCREASE SOME CLOUD COVERAGE IN THE FAR THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. NEXT SFC HIGH BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH AND ENHANCES THE GRADIENT WINDS FOR TUESDAY. RIDGING AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD LINGER AS THE UPPER TROUGH ENERGY CUTS OFF NORTHEAST OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD MODERATE BACK TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES TODAY THRU TUES. BAKER && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... LONG TERM PERIOD BEGINS WITH CLOSED UPPER LOW MOVING OFFSHORE THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WHILE AT THE SURFACE AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BRIDGES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WITH INFLUENCE ALL THE WAY SOUTH THROUGH OUR AREA AND THE GULF COAST. AS STRONG UPPER HIGH BUILDS OVER THE MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY...LOCAL AREA WILL REMAIN IN A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND GENERALLY WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL TROPICAL/HYBRID SYSTEMS LATE IN THE PERIOD BUT FOR NOW WILL REMAIN WITH A DRY FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. DEESE && .AVIATION... 06Z UPDATE... MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH PERIOD THOUGH MVFR VSBYS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING IN 09-13Z TIME FRAME. POSSIBLE CU FIELD THIS AFTERNOON BUT THINKING JUST FEW COVERAGE. MID LEVEL MOISTURE WITH NEXT DISTURBANCE LOOKS TO BRING SCT COVERAGE IN 8-12 KFT RANGE MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT AND VRB TO CALM BECOMING LIGHT SW TODAY. //ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE... MEDIUM ON MORNING MVFR VSBYS. HIGH ALL ELSE. BAKER && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ATHENS 71 49 75 45 / 0 0 0 0 ATLANTA 72 54 74 49 / 0 0 0 0 BLAIRSVILLE 66 46 67 38 / 0 0 0 0 CARTERSVILLE 72 46 73 42 / 0 0 0 0 COLUMBUS 74 53 78 50 / 0 0 0 0 GAINESVILLE 68 51 71 46 / 0 0 0 0 MACON 75 47 78 46 / 0 0 0 0 ROME 73 47 73 43 / 0 0 0 0 PEACHTREE CITY 72 47 75 43 / 0 0 0 0 VIDALIA 77 54 79 54 / 0 0 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...BAKER LONG TERM....DEESE AVIATION...BAKER

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