Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000 FXUS64 KFWD 280000 AAA AFDFWD AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 600 PM CST THU NOV 27 2014 .AVIATION... /00Z TAFS/ LIGHT SOUTH WINDS WILL STEADILY VEER THIS EVENING. AS LEE TROUGHING DEEPENS...WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY. SUSTAINED SPEEDS MAY APPROACH OR EXCEED 20KTS AT TIMES. THE SURFACE LAYER WILL REMAIN WELL MIXED FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH WIND SPEEDS DIMINISHING VERY LITTLE. EXTENDED... THE GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. STRATUS MAY INVADE CENTRAL TEXAS SATURDAY MORNING. 25 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 342 PM CST THU NOV 27 2014/ THE LIGHT MOSTLY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THAT WE SAW THIS MORNING HAVE BECOME EAST AND SOUTHEASTERLY THIS AFTERNOON AS A SURFACE RIDGE THAT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM SOUTHWESTERN IOWA INTO THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY MOVES EAST. THE EFFECTS OF YESTERDAYS COLD FRONT CAN BE NOTICED AS THIS AFTERNOON/S TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING 4 TO 8 DEGREES COOLER THAN AT THIS TIME YESTERDAY. EXPECT CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. WITH THE RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS...FRIDAY MORNING/S LOWS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN THIS MORNINGS LOWS AT MOST LOCATIONS. DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A NICE WARM UP IS EXPECTED STARTING FRIDAY AS LEE SIDE TROUGHING DEEPENS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY LATE MORNING WITH GUSTS OVER 25 MPH LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS MAY TAP SOME GULF MOISTURE AND BRING SOME CLOUDS INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES...BUT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY PREVAIL FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE LOWER 60S NORTHEAST TO AROUND 70 WEST. THE DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW SHOULD RESULT IN SOME LOW CLOUDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH SOME GUSTS OVER 30 MPH LIKELY. AFTER A MILD MORNING WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S...TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE 70S AREA WIDE. THE INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY WITH LOWS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S IN THE FAR NORTHWEST TO THE LOWER 60S ACROSS MOST OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES. HIGHS SUNDAY WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 70S...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF A FEW SPOTS REACH 80 DEGREES. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES BEFORE MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT AND SWEEP THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN ZONES BY MID MORNING MONDAY. AFTER MORNING LOWS IN THE MID 30S NORTHWEST TO THE MID 50S SOUTHEAST...HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S NORTHWEST TO THE UPPER 60S SOUTHEAST. THERE WILL A BE SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EAST OF I-35 MONDAY. THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THIS EVENT WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT WHEN WE WILL SEE LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S NORTHWEST TO THE LOWER 40S SOUTHEAST. DEPENDING ON THE ACTUAL STRENGTH OF THIS SURGE...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF TEMPERATURES END UP BEING A FEW DEGREES COLDER. AS THE NEXT LEE SIDE TROUGH DEVELOPS TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES SHOULD START A MODERATING TREND. HIGHS SHOULD BE IN THE 50S AREA WIDE UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. EXPECT A RETURN TO NEAR SEASON NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY. SOME LOW RAIN CHANCES MAY RETURN THURSDAY AS INDICATED BY THE GFS...BUT BETTER CHANCES WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL NEXT FRIDAY/SATURDAY. 58 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 40 68 53 76 62 / 0 0 0 5 5 WACO, TX 37 68 54 76 61 / 0 0 5 5 10 PARIS, TX 36 63 52 73 61 / 0 0 0 5 10 DENTON, TX 37 67 51 74 59 / 0 0 0 5 5 MCKINNEY, TX 37 65 54 74 61 / 0 0 0 5 5 DALLAS, TX 41 67 53 75 62 / 0 0 0 5 5 TERRELL, TX 37 66 54 74 61 / 0 0 0 5 10 CORSICANA, TX 39 66 55 77 62 / 0 0 5 5 10 TEMPLE, TX 39 69 54 76 62 / 0 0 5 5 10 MINERAL WELLS, TX 37 70 48 76 55 / 0 0 0 5 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ 25/69

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