Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000 FXUS64 KFWD 192357 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 557 PM CST Thu Jan 19 2017 .AVIATION... After two days of overnight IFR/LIFR conditions across the DFW Metroplex and Waco, both locations will experience VFR conditions tonight. There will be no flight concerns overnight other than some high clouds skirting the area. Tomorrow, sufficient mixing in the atmosphere will increase wind speed to around 15 kts out of the west/southwest. If overnight guidance suggests stronger westerly winds during the late morning/afternoon hours, some issues may arise to NW-SE oriented runways. HERNANDEZ && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 PM CST Thu Jan 19 2017/ Scattered showers and thunderstorms moved to the east of the forecast area before daybreak today. The dense fog that developed over much of North Central Texas before daybreak mixed out late morning and the low clouds had exited to the east to Bonham to Corsicana to Cameron line by 2 PM. Temperatures ranged from the mid 50s in the cloud enshrouded east to the lower 70s across the west. The low clouds should exit the eastern zones early evening. As an upper level low that can be easily seen on water vapor satellite imagery over central Kansas lifts northward, we will have some brief upper level ridging. Afterwards, the upper level flow across North and Central Texas will become southwesterly on Friday. Lower level winds will be south to southwest at 10 to 20 mph both Friday and Saturday. This will result in quite mild temperatures for the next couple of days. Lows will be in the mid 40s northwest to mid 50s southeast and highs will be mostly in the 70s. A chance of showers and thunderstorms will return Saturday and Saturday night ahead of a Pacific Cold front. At this time, it looks like there will be the potential for a few strong thunderstorms but organized severe weather is not expected. As a surface and upper level low move across Oklahoma overnight Saturday night and Sunday morning and into Arkansas Sunday afternoon, expect gusty northwesterly winds behind the cold front. Lows Saturday night will generally be in the 40s and highs Sunday will be a little cooler than Saturday with upper 50s to mid 60s expected. Temperatures will moderate again for the early part of next week. Another cold front will move into the area Tuesday night bringing a cool-down back to near seasonal normal temperatures for the rest of the work week but it looks like this system will be rain- free at this time. 58 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 50 76 51 75 49 / 0 5 5 20 30 Waco 48 76 47 75 49 / 0 5 10 20 20 Paris 48 72 48 71 46 / 0 5 10 30 50 Denton 47 75 47 74 46 / 0 5 5 20 30 McKinney 48 75 48 73 47 / 0 5 5 20 30 Dallas 51 76 52 75 50 / 0 5 5 20 30 Terrell 50 73 49 74 48 / 0 5 10 30 30 Corsicana 52 76 51 74 49 / 0 5 10 30 30 Temple 49 76 49 75 49 / 0 5 10 20 20 Mineral Wells 46 75 47 75 46 / 0 5 5 20 20 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ 08

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