Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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744 FXUS64 KFWD 242012 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 312 PM CDT FRI JUN 24 2016 .DISCUSSION... An upper level ridge currently extends from southern New Mexico across North Texas east-southeastward into northern Florida has dominated the weather across North and Central Texas for the last week. A TUTT, Tropical Upper Troposphere Trough, can be seen on satellite imagery northwest of Saltillo /MMIO/ in Coahulia, Mexico. The TUTT will continue to move northwestward during the next several days. With slightly cooler temperatures aloft and increased moisture, there will be low chances of afternoon and early evening showers and thunderstorms across the southern part of the forecast area Saturday and area wide Sunday. Otherwise, expect seasonably hot days and mild to warm nights with highs in the 90s and lows in the 70s to around 80 degrees. The eastern part of the upper level ridge will weaken early next while the western part will shift northwestward. Expect isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms through Wednesday. As a series of shortwaves move along the northern periphery of the ridge, a trough will develop across the eastern United States. This should allow for a weak front to move into North Texas late next week (Thursday night/Friday). This boundary along with shortwaves moving southeastward in the northwesterly flow aloft will result in result in chances of showers and thunderstorms across the north Thursday and Thursday night and area wide next Friday. 58 && .AVIATION... /ISSUED 1230 PM CDT FRI JUN 24 2016/ VFR conditions and south winds will prevail through the period. There is a low chance for MVFR cigs to occur briefly at Waco Saturday morning, but this potential is too low to include in the TAF at this time. However, this may need to be included as a tempo in future issuances. Otherwise, only diurnal cumulus and SCT high clouds are expected. -Stalley && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 77 95 78 96 78 / 5 10 10 20 10 Waco 75 94 75 95 75 / 5 20 20 20 10 Paris 73 94 75 95 76 / 5 5 5 20 10 Denton 74 94 76 96 76 / 5 5 5 20 20 McKinney 74 93 76 95 76 / 5 10 10 20 10 Dallas 78 95 79 95 79 / 5 10 10 20 10 Terrell 76 93 76 95 76 / 5 10 10 20 10 Corsicana 76 94 76 95 76 / 5 20 20 20 10 Temple 74 93 74 94 74 / 10 20 20 20 10 Mineral Wells 72 93 74 94 74 / 5 5 5 20 20 && .FWD Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 77/58

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