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-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS61 KGYX 170436
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1236 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND
AND MOVE EAST OF THE REGION MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT INTO
THE REGION TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA ON
WEDNESDAY AND STALL.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
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WILL UPDATE TO INPUT LATEST OBSERVED DATA. MAIN CHANGE IS TO DROP
ANY MENTION OF PRCP ACROSS THE N/MT ZONES PER LATEST RADAR WHICH
SHOWS ANY LEFTOVER PRCP TO THE N AND E OF THE FCST AREA AND
STAYING OUT OF THE FCST AREA.

OTRW A TRANQUIL NGT OF WX WITH VARYING AMOUNTS OF CLOUDS AS
INDICATED BY SATELLITE AND MTR REPORTS. WITH SOME CLOUDS AROUND
AND LOWER DEW POINTS DON`T ANTICIPATE ANY F OVERNIGHT. CONT TO
FCST LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S N AND 40S S WITH SOME
LOWER 50S SE NH AND COASTAL SW ME.
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&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/...
ON FRIDAY THE UPPER TROF EXITS TO THE E LEAVING A CONTINUED NWLY
FLOW AT THE SFC/ALFT. TEMPS WILL BE COOLER AND GENERALLY CLOUDY
CONDS EXPECTED IN THE MTNS AND FOOTHILLS WHILE IN THE DOWNSLOPING
AREAS PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED. THE COASTAL LOCATIONS WILL
SEE THE MOST SUN.  FRI NIGHT SKIES SHOULD BECOME CLEAR OVER MOST
AREAS AS THE DRY NWLY FLOW ALOFT CONDS COMBINING WITH WEAK HIGH
PRES THAT SETTLES OVER THE REGION FRI NIGHT. GENERALLY ACCEPTED
MAV GUID TEMPS FOR FRI/FRI NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRES WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION SAT AND SUN AND MOVE EAST
MON. IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL SEE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF ONSHORE FLOW
WHICH WILL LIKELY BRING IN CLOUDS ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AND KEEP
COASTAL LOCATIONS COOLER. FOR MONDAY BOTH THE 12Z GFS AND 00Z
ECMWF SWING WINDS AROUND TO THE SW LATER IN THE DAY AND PUSH A
WARM FRONT THRU. BOTH MODELS THEN DROP A COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA
BUT THERE ARE SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES. HOWEVER THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK LOOKS UNSETTLED.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...VFR. OCCASIONAL GUSTY NW
WINDS ON FRIDAY BUT NOT NEARLY AS STRONG AS THEY WERE ON THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...VFR EXPECTED SAT. MVFR/IFR SAT NIGHT IN FOG ESPECIALLY
AT PWM/RKD DUE TO PERSISTENT SE FLOW. IFR/MVFR IN FOG SUN MORN
CONDITIONS WILL LIFT TO MVFR/VFR SUN AFTN. BACK TO MVFR/IFR SUN
NGT THRU MONDAY AS WARM FRONT MOVES IN.
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&&

.MARINE...
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SHORT TERM /OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...WILL UPDATE TO ISSUE
AN SCA FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FOR THE WATERS OUTSIDE THE BAYS BASED ON
BUOY REPORTS OF SEAS AVERAGING AROUND 5 FT WITH SOME SEAS UP TO 7
FT OVER THE OUTER MOST WATERS. OTRW JUST MINOR TWEAKS TO THE WIND
FCST OVERNIGHT AS WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LGT THRU FRIDAY NGT. SEAS
SHOULD SUBSIDE SOME LATE TNGT THEN CONT TO SUBSIDE SLOWLY ON
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NGT.

LONG TERM...QUIET ON THE WATERS SAT AND SUN. SCA WINDS PSBL MON AS
WINDS FRESHEN FROM SW
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&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
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DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH COOLER TEMPS AS
A CANADIAN RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY BUILDS ACROSS THE
REGION. WINDS WILL ABATE THIS EVENING AND THEN RETURN ON FRIDAY
BUT NOT AS STRONG AND GUSTY. GREEN UP CONTINUES AND THE COMBO OF
THE WIND/RH VALUES NOT REACHING RED FLAG CRITERIA FOR FRIDAY.
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&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
     MORNING FOR ANZ150-152-154.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

$$