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-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS61 KGYX 190424
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1224 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS AND BE FOLLOWED BY A STRONG NORTHWEST WIND ON SATURDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. A STORM
SYSTEM LOOKS TO AFFECT THE REGION MIDWEEK WITH RAIN.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
-- Changed Discussion --
1220 AM...UPDATED POPS AND P-TYPE OVERNIGHT BASED ON CURRENT
TREND. GIVEN T/TD SPREADS AND SUPREMELY DRY LOW TO MID-LVLS NOTED IN
00Z GYX AND ALY RAOBS HAVE SCALED BACK POPS JUST A BIT...BUT ALSO
REMOVED ANY PL/FZRA. GIVEN THE DRY LYR ALOFT...WET BULB TEMPS
SUGGEST EITHER SN OR RA BASED ON BL TEMPS. SUPPOSE THERE IS A CHC
FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF PL RIGHT AT THE START...BUT LOOKS VERY
LIMITED. QPF STILL LOOKS TO BE AT BEST A TENTH OF AN INCH IN THE
NRN ZONES...SO SOME VERY LIGHT ACCUMS COULD OCCUR THERE OVERNIGHT.

PREVIOUSLY...THE MARINE STRATUS CONTINUES TO FLIRT WITH THE COAST
OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE THIS AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE
HIGHER CLOUDS WERE ON THE INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT OVER THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES. A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AS
THE COLD FRONT SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/...
LINGERING CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY AND BRISK WITH
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH DEVELOPING BEHIND THE
DEPARTING COLD FRONT. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM UPPER 40S IN THE
MOUNTAINS TO NEAR 60F IN SEACOAST NEW HAMPSHIRE.

MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLD SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES
ACROSS THE AREA WITH LOWS RANGING FROM 20 TO 30.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY BEFORE A DIGGING SHORT
WAVE TROUGH AND ATTENDANT SFC LOW PRESSURE AFFECTS THE AREA LATE
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DEPENDING ON THE TRACK AND
AMPLIFICATION OF THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND FETCH OF POTENTIAL
MOIST INFLOW...RAIN COULD BE HEAVY FOR A TIME. HOWEVER...THERE IS
STILL HIGH UNCERTAINTY ON QPF WITH THIS SYSTEM. THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY SHOULD FEATURE FAIR...COOL...AND WINDY WEATHER IN THE WAKE
OF THE SYSTEM.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...AREAS OF MVFR THROUGH
TONIGHT...THEN VFR WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON SAT TO 30 KT.

LONG TERM...VFR EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WITH MVFR OR LOWER
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...THE SMALL CRAFT FOR
HAZARDOUS SEAS CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT. BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE TO
SMALL CRAFT THRESHOLD.

LONG TERM...GENERALLY SUB-SCA CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. CHANCES FOR SCA CONDITIONS INCREASE MIDWEEK WITH
POTENTIAL COASTAL LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
-- Changed Discussion --
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
     MORNING FOR ANZ150-152-154.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...