Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Portland, ME

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000 FXUS61 KGYX 281848 AFDGYX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 248 PM EDT THU JUL 28 2016 .SYNOPSIS... A weak frontal boundary dropping out of Canada will continue showers and thunderstorms into the evening. The front slowly slips offshore on Friday as low pressure track east along the front offshore of Cape Cod. This will bring another chance of showers Friday into Friday night. Cooler, more seasonable temperatures return for the weekend with dry conditions Saturday and another chance for showers on Sunday into Monday. && .NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/... A weak front will move south across the region tonight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will accompany the front. Some storms may be be strong but dynamics are not favorable for a sever weather outbreak. By later in the evening most of the stronger convection will diminish to just showers. Temperatures will be warm and muggy tonight as per model guidance. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... On Friday the front becomes stationary to the south with a low/mid level wave of low pressure developing along the front over the southern new england coast and moves rapidly east by Friday evening. Heavy qpf will be associated with this wave to our south but our forecast area will be far enough north and spared to only receive .25-.50 inches Friday with the heaviest amounts over southeast NH. Temperatures will be cooler Friday and Friday night as cooler air from the north slowly spreads south. Used a blend of models for pops and temperatures and RFCQPF. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... With active wx across the forecast area this afternoon the extended forecast will stay close to the previous forecast. Used a multi-model consensus blend with the previous forecast. Little change is seen with the latest model guidance...with another round of showers possible Sun night or Mon...and gradually warming temps and scattered afternoon showers for the remainder of the week. && .AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Short Term...MVFR and possible brief ifr conditions tonight through Friday in scattered showers and even a few possible thunderstorms. Conditions will improve to vfr Friday night. Long Term...A period of MVFR conditions is possible in SHRA Sun night and Mon. Confidence is low on how far N those SHRA extend...so much of the forecast area may remain dry and VFR. && .MARINE... Short Term...Conditions to remain below SCA thresholds through Friday night. Long Term...Winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA thresholds. && .GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. NH...None. MARINE...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...Marine SHORT TERM...Marine LONG TERM...Legro AVIATION...Legro/Marine MARINE...Legro/Marine

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