Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Portland, ME

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000 FXUS61 KGYX 250006 AAA AFDGYX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 806 PM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014 .SYNOPSIS... LOW PRESSURE WILL FINALLY DRIFT OFF INTO THE MARITIMES THIS EVENING. A BRIEF BREAK OF FAIR WEATHER ON SATURDAY IS FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE REGION SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AROUND THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
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.UPDATE... ONLY MINOR CHANGES FOR THIS UPDATE INCLUDING ADJUSTING POPS TO ACCOUNT FOR LINGERING SHOWERS NEAR THE MIDCOAST AND OVER THE TERRAIN. ALSO CLOUD COVER IS HANGING ON STUBBORNLY. DO THINK WE WILL SEE ENOUGH BREAKS/CLEARING BY MORNING FOR LOWS TO REACH THE 30S AND 40S AS FORECAST...HOWEVER INCREASE TEMPERATURES BY A COUPLE DEGREES IN A FEW SPOTS WHERE CLOUD COVER IS THICKER. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE WHERE CLOUD COVER DISSIPATES.
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&& PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... AT 18Z...GOES IMAGERY SHOWED LOW PRESSURE SURFACE AND ALOFT SITUATED JUST SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA. CLOUDS CONTINUED TO ROTATE AROUND THIS SYSTEM INTO THE FORECAST AREA ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY EXIT THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT AS THE SYSTEM SLIDES FURTHER OFFSHORE OF NEW ENGLAND. ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WE SHOULD HOLD ON TO A FEW MORE CLOUDS IN THE UPSLOPE FLOW. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... A WELL DESERVED RESPITE ON SATURDAY WITH SUNSHINE AND MILD TEMPERATURES UNDER WEAK RIDGING. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. CLOUDS FROM THE NEXT SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT REACH THE AREA BY SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS FOUND ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX POSSIBLE FOR THE HIGH TERRAIN. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... THE STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL USHER COLD AIR INTO THE REGION ON BRISK NW WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL BE LIMITED TO THE 40S IN THE NORTH WITH 50S IN THE SOUTH. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR LIGHT PRECIP WILL BE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS AN OCCLUSION CROSSES MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. COLD AIR WILL POUR IN BEHIND THIS FRONT AS WELL...AS HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY BUILDS SOUTH FROM CANADA. MODELS DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY NEXT FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE EAST. THE EURO REMAINS THE MOST ACTIVE WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT DEVELOP A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NEW YORK CITY AND SEND IT UP THE COASTLINE. THE REMAINDER OF THE 12Z MODEL SUITE KEEPS MOST OF THE ENERGY WELL OFF THE COAST. && .AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... SHORT TERM...MVFR AND LCL IFR...GRADUALLY IMPROVING TO VFR TONIGHT THROUGHOUT. VFR SATURDAY...WITH SCT MVFR SAT NIGHT IN SHOWERS. LONG TERM...A COUPLE BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR CONDITIONS BOTH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY MORNING AND WEDNESDAY MORNING...MAINLY IN THE UPSLOPE NW FACING TERRAIN. && .MARINE... SHORT TERM...WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BUT SEAS OUTSIDE THE BAYS REMAIN ABOVE SCA THRESHOLD. THE CURRENT SCA WAS CONVERTED TO AN SCA FOR HAZ SEAS OUTSIDE THE BAYS TROUGH THE 1ST HALF OF TONIGHT. THE BAYS HAVE HAD THE SCA HEADLINE DROPPED ALTOGETHER. LONG TERM...SCA TYPE WINDS MAY REACH THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY BEHIND EXITING COLD FRONT. && .GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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ME...NONE. NH...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 1 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.
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&& $$ UPDATE...HANES

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