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-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS61 KGYX 081138
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
638 AM EST SAT MAR 8 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON SUNDAY. A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS SLIDE
SOUTHEAST ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS AND MOVES NORTHEAST UP THE
EASTERN SEABOARD LATE WEDNESDAY THRU THURSDAY THEN MOVES INTO THE
MARITIMES THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LATEST MESOSCALE MODELS...INCLUDING THE HRRR CONTINUE TO SHOW
THE MOISTURE STARVED COLD FRONT WEAKENING AS IT PASSES THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA TODAY.  THE FROPA FOR PORTLAND SHOULD BE AROUND 21Z.

MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL PROGRESS SOUTH AND EAST TODAY. SOME OF
THIS CLOUDINESS WILL DIMINISH AS THE MOISTURE ATTEMPTS TO REACH
THE COASTLINE. AS THE NORTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS...ADDED TERRAIN KICK MAY ALLOW
FOR SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS...WITH DRY CONDITIONS
ELSEWHERE.

USED A BLEND OF WARM MAV NUMBERS WITH COOLER MET READINGS. THIS
WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY IN QUITE SOME TIME ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD EAST TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY...KEEPING DRY CONDITIONS FOR NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. A SHORT
WAVE MAY BRING LIGHT PRECIP WELL SOUTH OF OUR REGION
TONIGHT...WITH JUST SOME CLOUDINESS SKIRTING SOUTHERN AREAS.

IT WILL BE BACK TO CHILLY TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AS STRONG COLD
AIR ADVECTION REMAINS OVER OUR FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...THE STRONG
MARCH SUN WILL STILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S DESPITE H8 TEMPS IN THE -14 TO -16C RANGE.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COUPLE OF MINOR CLIPPERS MOVING THRU THE WNWLY FLOW ALFT WILL
PRODUCE SCT SNW SHWRS SUN NIGHT THRU TUE. COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRES
BUILDS IN FOR WED. THE BIG QUESTION FOR WED NIGHT AND THU WILL BE
IF THE DIGGING NRN TROF THRU THE MIDWEST CAN PHASE WITH A PIECE OF
ENERGY BEING KICKED NEWD FROM THE SRN STREAM. AT THIS TIME THE
MODELS ARE NOT PHASING THE SYSTEMS ALLOWING NOTHING MORE THAN A
WEAK NRN STREAM TROF TO MOVE THRU ON THU. THE EURO HAS ALSO BACKED
OFF WITH THE PHASING OF THE SYSTEMS. STILL PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY
THOUGH SO STAYED WITH THE SUPERBLEND AND MAINLY CHC POPS FOR WED
NIGHT AND THU. TEMPS THRU THE OUTLOOK PERIOD LOOK TO REMAIN BLO
NORMAL BUT NOT THE EXTREME COLD OF THE PAST WEEKS.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A SNOW
SHOWER IN THE MOUNTAINS.

LONG TERM...
VFR CONDS SUN BECOMING MVFR SUN NIGHT THRU TUE IN SCT SNW SHWRS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...HAVE ISSUED AN SCA FOR SEAS AS OFFSHORE LOW BRINGS A
FEW 5 AND 6 FOOTERS TO THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

LONG TERM...
WINDS/SEAS TO REMAIN BLO SCA THRU WED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 7 PM EST THIS
     EVENING TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$
JC/RAM