Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Portland, ME

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000 FXUS61 KGYX 190424 AFDGYX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 1224 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014 .SYNOPSIS... A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AND BE FOLLOWED BY A STRONG NORTHWEST WIND ON SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. A STORM SYSTEM LOOKS TO AFFECT THE REGION MIDWEEK WITH RAIN. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
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1220 AM...UPDATED POPS AND P-TYPE OVERNIGHT BASED ON CURRENT TREND. GIVEN T/TD SPREADS AND SUPREMELY DRY LOW TO MID-LVLS NOTED IN 00Z GYX AND ALY RAOBS HAVE SCALED BACK POPS JUST A BIT...BUT ALSO REMOVED ANY PL/FZRA. GIVEN THE DRY LYR ALOFT...WET BULB TEMPS SUGGEST EITHER SN OR RA BASED ON BL TEMPS. SUPPOSE THERE IS A CHC FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF PL RIGHT AT THE START...BUT LOOKS VERY LIMITED. QPF STILL LOOKS TO BE AT BEST A TENTH OF AN INCH IN THE NRN ZONES...SO SOME VERY LIGHT ACCUMS COULD OCCUR THERE OVERNIGHT. PREVIOUSLY...THE MARINE STRATUS CONTINUES TO FLIRT WITH THE COAST OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE THIS AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE HIGHER CLOUDS WERE ON THE INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE COLD FRONT SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/... LINGERING CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY AND BRISK WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH DEVELOPING BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM UPPER 40S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO NEAR 60F IN SEACOAST NEW HAMPSHIRE. MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLD SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES ACROSS THE AREA WITH LOWS RANGING FROM 20 TO 30. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY BEFORE A DIGGING SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND ATTENDANT SFC LOW PRESSURE AFFECTS THE AREA LATE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DEPENDING ON THE TRACK AND AMPLIFICATION OF THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND FETCH OF POTENTIAL MOIST INFLOW...RAIN COULD BE HEAVY FOR A TIME. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL HIGH UNCERTAINTY ON QPF WITH THIS SYSTEM. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY SHOULD FEATURE FAIR...COOL...AND WINDY WEATHER IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM. && .AVIATION /04Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...AREAS OF MVFR THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN VFR WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON SAT TO 30 KT. LONG TERM...VFR EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WITH MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. && .MARINE... SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...THE SMALL CRAFT FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT THRESHOLD. LONG TERM...GENERALLY SUB-SCA CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. CHANCES FOR SCA CONDITIONS INCREASE MIDWEEK WITH POTENTIAL COASTAL LOW PRESSURE. && .GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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ME...NONE. NH...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR ANZ150-152-154.
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&& $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM...CEMPA SHORT TERM... LONG TERM... AVIATION... MARINE...

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