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000
FXUS61 KGYX 160743
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
343 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
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A COLD FRONT EXITS TO OUR EAST THIS MORNING...BRINGING AND END TO
THE RAIN AND SNOW. COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH FRIDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS NORTH OF THE REGION ON
SATURDAY AND COULD PRODUCE RAIN SHOWERS. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH ON SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES ON
MONDAY.
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&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
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RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH OFF TO THE EAST EARLY THIS
MORNING. MUCH DRIER AIR MOVING IN ON WEST NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
PROVIDE A SHARP END TO THE PRECIPITATION FROM WEST TO EAST. THERE
COULD BE SOME LINGERING MOISTURE IN THE MOUNTAINS FOR A FEW HOURS
LONGER.

IT WILL BE A COLD DAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 30S TO
LOW 40S. SHOULD SEE A LOT OF SUN THOUGH.
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&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND THURSDAY/...
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HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD THIS EVENING AND WINDS WILL GO CALM
FOR MUCH OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. WITH A CLEAR SKY... CALM WINDS...
AND VERY DRY AIR IN PLACE... TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL
INTO THE TEENS AND 20S. RECORD COLD IS POSSIBLE AT PORTLAND AND
CONCORD BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RECORD LOW AT PORTLAND FOR
THURSDAY IS 24 DEGREES SET IN 2003. AT CONCORD THE RECORD IS 18
SET IN 1908. BOTH RECORDS COULD BE TIED OR BROKEN.

AIR MASS TRIES TO MODERATE A LITTLE BIT ON THURSDAY AS THE CENTER
OF HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. WARMER
TEMPERATURES WILL BE FELT ACROSS INLAND AND MOUNTAIN AREAS BUT
COASTAL LOCATIONS WILL SEE AN ONSHORE EASTERLY FLOW BEGIN. THIS
EASTERLY WIND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 40S.
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&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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COLD AIR MASS BEGINS TO MODERATE A BIT ON FRIDAY AS SW FLOW
DEVELOPS ALOFT. A FAST MOVING WAVE AT 500 MB CROSSES MOVES ACROSS
THE NORTHERN FORECAST AREA SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WILL
DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA...SETTING OFF SOME
SHOWERS...MAINLY RAIN. A BRIEF SHOT OF COLDER AIR MOVES IN ON
SUNDAY...WHICH WILL BE DRY AS SURFACE HIGH CROSSES NEW ENGLAND. THE
HIGH MOVES OFF SHORE...AND SW FLOW SETS UP AGAIN...WITH WARMER AIR
MOVING IN...AND THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AGAIN MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS
ANOTHER WEAK WAVE MOVES THROUGH.
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&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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SHORT TERM...
CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR QUICKLY AS THE RAIN ENDS EARLY THIS
MORNING. WEST NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 25 OR 30 KT LATE THIS
MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GO NEARLY CALM TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...
MAINLY VFR THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. SOME FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS
IN SHOWERS POSSIBLE SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING.
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&&

.MARINE...
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SHORT TERM...
NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. COULD STILL SEE A
FEW GUSTS TO GALE FORCE OVER THE OUTER WATERS THROUGH NOON. THE
BAYS ARE NOW IN A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM AS WIND GUSTS TO
25 OR 30 KT ARE EXPECTED THERE. SEAS MAY STAY ABOVE 5 FEET IN THE
OUTER WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.
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&&

.HYDROLOGY...
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FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR RIVERS ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE EXTENDED AREAL FLOOD
WARNINGS ACROSS NORTHERN NH INTO ADJACENT WESTERN ME THROUGH MID
MORNING AS OUR FLASHY RIVERS ARE CRESTING NOW...AND THIS WILL GIVE
THE STREAMS AND SMALLER RIVERS TIME TO FALL BELOW FLOOD LEVELS.
SLOWER REACTING MAIN STEM RIVERS WILL NOT CREST UNTIL LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT. SEE THE LATEST FLOOD PRODUCTS... PWMFLSGYX AND
PWMFLWGYX...FOR MORE DETAILS. THESE PRODUCTS ARE ALSO AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEB SITE.
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&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ151-
     153.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.
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&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...CEMPA
NEAR TERM...KIMBLE
SHORT TERM...KIMBLE
LONG TERM...CEMPA
AVIATION...CEMPA/KIMBLE
MARINE...CEMPA/KIMBLE
HYDROLOGY...CEMPA