Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Honolulu, HI

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AXHW70 PHFO 070022
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HIC001-003-007-009-080007-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
225 PM HST THU AUG 6 2015

...SEVERE DROUGHT CONTINUES ON KAUAI AND MAUI...


SYNOPSIS...
SEVERE DROUGHT...OR THE D2 CATEGORY ON THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR MAP
CONTINUED OVER PORTIONS OF MAUI AND KAUAI DURING THE LATTER HALF OF
JULY. THE SEVERE DROUGHT ON MAUI ENCOMPASSED THE SOUTHEASTERN FLANK
OF HALEAKALA FROM KAUPO TO AUWAHI WHILE THE AREA ON KAUAI COVERED
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS FROM HANAPEPE TO KALEPA RIDGE.

MODERATE DROUGHT...OR THE D1 CATEGORY...REMAINED IN PLACE ON THE BIG
ISLAND ALONG A BELT COVERING THE REGION FROM KAWAIHAE TO
POHAKULOA...THEN SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN VIEW ESTATES AND SOUTH POINT.
MODERATE DROUGHT WAS ALSO AFFECTING THE LEEWARD WAIANAE RANGE OF
OAHU.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

KAUAI.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES SINCE THE JULY 16 UPDATE. VEGETATION AND
PASTURE CONDITIONS IN THE HANAPEPE AREA REMAIN VERY POOR.  DROUGHT
CONDITIONS HAVE FORCED RANCHERS OPERATING NEAR KALEPA RIDGE TO
DESTOCK PASTURES DUE TO INADEQUATE FEED AND WATER.

OAHU.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES SINCE THE JULY 16 UPDATE.  PASTURES ARE IN A
DEGRADED STATE AND BRUSH FIRES HAVE BEEN OCCURRING OCCASIONALLY.

MOLOKAI AND LANAI.
THERE ARE NO DROUGHT IMPACTS TO REPORT.

MAUI.
THE KAUPO AREA RANCHERS HAVE BEEN HIT THE HARDEST AND HAVE HAD TO
WEAN CALVES EARLIER THAN NORMAL AT LOWER WEIGHTS. PASTURES HAVE
BEEN DESTOCKED DUE TO INADEQUATE FORAGE. VEGETATION IN LEEWARD WEST
MAUI HAS ALSO BEEN VERY DRY WITH AN INCREASING RISK OF BRUSH FIRES.

BIG ISLAND.
A RANCHER OPERATING IN THE KAWAIHAE AREA HAS BEEN REPORTING DRY
CONDITIONS. RANCHERS OPERATING NEAR NAALEHU AND SOUTH POINT HAVE
BEEN SUPPLEMENTING FEED DUE TO DEGRADED PASTURE CONDITIONS.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
ACCORDING TO THE NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...EL NINO CONDITIONS
ARE PRESENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN.  IT IS HIGHLY LIKELY THAT EL NINO
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE 2015-2016 WINTER SEASON AND INTO THE SPRING
OF 2016.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
THE LONG-LEAD HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OUTLOOK ISSUED ON JULY 16 BY THE NOAA
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER INDICATED THAT PROBABILITIES FAVOR ABOVE
MEDIAN PRECIPITATION IN THE SUMMER AND EARLY FALL...THEN BELOW
MEDIAN PRECIPITATION DURING THE WINTER.  ABOVE MEDIAN SUMMER
RAINFALL IS MAINLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG THE WINDWARD SLOPES IN
MAINLY TRADE WIND CONDITIONS LEAVING LEEWARD AREAS GENERALLY DRY.
THE NEXT LONG-LEAD OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER ON AUGUST 20.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
DATA FROM THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY INDICATED THAT MONITORED
STREAMS ON KAUAI HAD 30-DAY FLOW LEVELS IN THE NORMAL TO BELOW
NORMAL RANGE. FLOW LEVELS FOR STREAMS ON OAHU AND MAUI COUNTY WERE
IN THE NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RANGE WHILE BIG ISLAND STREAMS HAD BELOW
NORMAL FLOW. FLOW LEVELS FROM WINDWARD STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
IN THE NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL RANGE WITH NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL FLOW
WITHIN LEEWARD STREAMS.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON SEPTEMBER
10 2015 OR SOONER IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN
CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
HAWAII DROUGHT MONITOR...HAWAII.GOV/DLNR/DROUGHT/INDEX.HTML
USGS HAWAII - RECENT CONDITIONS...HI.WATER.USGS.GOV/RECENT/INDEX.HTML
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER LONG-LEAD HAWAII OUTLOOK...
WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/90DAY/FXHW40.HTML
HAWAII DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER...HAWAII.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
INFORMATION FOR THIS PRODUCT WAS COMPILED FROM A NUMBER OF SOURCES
INCLUDING THE COUNTY BOARDS AND DEPARTMENTS OF WATER SUPPLY...U.S.
AND STATE OF HAWAII AGRICULTURE AGENCIES...THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL
SURVEY AND THE MEDIA.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

KEVIN KODAMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2525 CORREA RD. SUITE 250
HONOLULU HI  96822
PHONE...808-973-5276
KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV

$$





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