Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000 FXUS64 KHGX 262324 AFDHGX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 524 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014 .DISCUSSION... SEE AVIATION FOR 00Z TAF DISCUSSION. && .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS MOVING INTO OUR NORTHERN TAF SITES AND WILL REACH THE COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. EXPECT WINDS TO VEER TO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN EAST THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE STATE. 38 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 257 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/ DISCUSSION... ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL DAY TODAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND DRY AIR THANKS TO LOW PWAT AIR IN PLACE (~0.4" ACCORDING TO GPS MET SITE). A SURFACE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO WORK ITS WAY SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON WITH IT BEING LOCATED RIGHT AROUND WACO, TX AS OF 2 PM. THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING. THANKSGIVING LOOKS ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS FOR THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. ON FRIDAY ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TO THE AREA ALLOWING THE WARM UP TO BEGIN ALONG WITH SOME CU IN THE AFTERNOON. SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY A WEAKNESS ALOFT WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA BRINGING VERY LOW RAIN CHANCES WITH IT (FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUPPORTING VERY LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE AT BEST). THE NEXT POSSIBLE FRONT AFTER TONIGHT WILL BE LATE MONDAY OR EARLY TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. MODELS GENERALLY STALL THE FRONT OUT ACROSS THE AREA. EVEN THE FRONT MAKING IT THIS FAR SOUTH SEEMS GENEROUS AT THIS POINT GIVEN THE ZONAL FLOW. WILL LOOK FOR MORE MODEL CONSISTENCY IN THE FUTURE BEFORE MAKING BIG CHANGES. 23 MARINE... THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO RELAX LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE COAST LATE TONIGHT WITH NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING. THE WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTHEAST AND INCREASE AROUND SUNRISE AND STAY RELATIVELY STRONG THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING. HAVE ISSUED A SCEC FOR THE GULF WATERS THROUGH 15Z AND FOR THE 20-60 NM WATERS THROUGH 21Z. ONSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. 43 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 40 63 41 69 56 / 0 0 0 10 10 HOUSTON (IAH) 43 65 41 70 57 / 0 0 0 10 10 GALVESTON (GLS) 52 63 52 68 62 / 0 0 0 10 10 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 3 AM CST THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM... WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 3 AM CST THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM. && $$ DISCUSSION...31 AVIATION/MARINE...38

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