-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
653
FXUS62 KILM 131731
AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
131 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
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Bermuda high pressure along with an inland trough will
generally prevail although a front could near mid week bringing
a bit better rain chances.
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&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
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Fairly weak weather features impacting the area during the near term
period.  Isolated to scattered, mainly afternoon and evening,
showers and storms, will develop on features like the sea breeze, a
weak surface trough inland, and storm outflows through Monday. Highs
away from the beaches will be in the low to mid 90s with lows in the
low to mid 70s.
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&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
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Weak flow through the entire column through the period, fairly
typical for July. The Piedmont trough and seabreeze will be the two
main rainmakers, and with very slow and erratic storm motion POPs
will be fairly uniform across the region, but with an earlier
starting time at the coast.
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&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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Bermuda high and Piedmont trough will continue to be weather map
fixtures for the foreseeable future. The high moisture content will
keep nighttime lows elevated well above seasonable norms while
daytime highs will only tend a few degrees above climatology. Each
day will have a muggy but rain-free night while thunderstorm
coverage each afternoon will be solidly in the chance range.
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&&

.AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Fog should burn off by the start of the TAF period. The sea
breeze will bring scattered afternoon and evening showers and
storms with restrictions near-MVFR CIGs, MVFR to IFR VSBYs, and
gusty winds. Still thinking we`ll deal with fog tonight so have
added some of it to the TAFs. IFR is possible, but confidence
was too low to include that. Wouldn`t be surprised if VSBYs went
down for tonight though with further TAF updates. Worst
conditions expected inland.

Extended Outlook...Intermittent flight restrictions are possible
each day due to daytime/evening convection and potential early
morning fog/stratus.

&&

.MARINE...
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Through Monday...expect S to SE winds of 10 KT or less with seas
invof 2 ft.

Early in the period the Bermuda high will be displaced to the east
some. Locally this means a weaker pressure gradient and fairly tame
winds. With most of the high-induced swells remaining well
offshore that leaves behind only the small wind-driven wave set.
A gradual westward return of the center of the high will add a
category back to wind speed by the midweek period. Seas will
respond by growing by about a foot.
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&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...ILM
UPDATE...31
NEAR TERM...31
SHORT TERM...MBB
LONG TERM...MBB
AVIATION...31
MARINE...