Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 230206 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1006 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will move across the area tonight. Drier and unseasonably cool air will filter into the area for the rest of the week. The next appreciable chance for rain after today looks to be early next week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
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Cold front stretching just north of I-70 late this evening will continue to progress southeast through the night. Looks like the boundary will come through dry with maybe a few clouds along it. Higher clouds streaming across the region will clear overnight. Given progression of the front, have opted to bump up lows a degree or two.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... By Wednesday afternoon, expect a fairly healthy diurnally- driven Cu field to develop, especially as heights aloft continue to fall. Some of the global models have been indicating a few very spotty light rain showers in the northern quarter of the FA during peak heating on Wednesday afternoon, so did add slight chance PoPs for a few hours Wednesday afternoon to account for this potential. Cu field and any chance for a spotty light rain shower will diminish towards sunset Wednesday, with a quiet Wednesday night period expected as surface high pressure begins to nudge into the western Ohio Valley. Lows on Wednesday night will dip into the lower to mid 50s area-wide. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... A weak upper level disturbance will bring an increase in cloud cover and an isolated shower potential to central Ohio on Thursday. CAA will also lead to an extensive cu field. Dry conditions will return by Thursday evening and then expect dry conditions through the weekend. High temperatures through the weekend will be in the 70s with lows in the upper 40s to the middle 50s. A slight chance of thunderstorms will be possible Monday and Tuesday with a weak disturbance. This system continues to slow down and be weaker than previous runs. && .AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... VFR conditions will prevail through the period. A cold front will push across the terminals early which will cause winds to veer to northwest. Clouds will clear tonight with cumulus developing again on Wednesday. OUTLOOK...No significant weather. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...KC NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM...KC LONG TERM... AVIATION...

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