Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 212015 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 415 PM EDT Wed Sep 21 2016 .SYNOPSIS...
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High pressure will remain across the region through Friday. A weak cold front will pass through Saturday with another high building in for early next week.
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&& .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
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Blow off from convection to the northwest may spread some thinning cirrus into the northwest counties. Otherwise skies will remain clear with light and variable winds. With dew points being higher than yesterday...expect lows to end up being a few degrees warmer than last night.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
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Center of high pressure will move east but ridging will remain through the period. Skies will remain mainly clear with temperatures will be near persistence.
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&& .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
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Went close to the ECMWF for this forecast package. There will be a weak back door cold front that will move into the area on Saturday. Moisture is limited with this feature and therefore only have an increase in cloud cover across northern portions of the forecast area. The ECMWF solution is slower and warmer therefore other than a slight chance of precipitation on Monday afternoon went with a dry forecast until late Tuesday night. A cold front will move through the forecast area on Wednesday. Limited precipitation chances to the chance category until models are more unified in this solution.
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&& .AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... High pressure will remain in control of the weather through the TAF period. We may see some occasional spotty cirrus drift down from the convection well off to our northwest but for the most part expect mainly clear conditions into Thursday. With a light easterly surface flow, expect fog and low visibilities to develop at KLUK once again tonight into early Thursday. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail through the period. OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM...Novak AVIATION...JGL

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