Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
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000
FXUS61 KILN 150604
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
204 AM EDT Fri Mar 15 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
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Drier and cooler air will work in today through Sunday as high
pressure settles to the southwest behind a departing cold front.
Cold temperatures and a chance of snow showers will accompany a
disturbance on Monday.-- End Changed Discussion --
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.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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A reduced threat for showers and isolated thunderstorms is
forecast for today as a cold front settles south of the Ohio
River. Cloudy to mostly cloudy skies are expected as low level
moisture lingers in a northerly flow behind the front. Showers
may regenerate as a weak disturbance interacts with the residual
moisture. Much cooler temperatures are forecast, with highs
ranging from the low 50s north to the low 60s south.-- End Changed Discussion --
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.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
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High pressure building to the west will allow dry weather
tonight and most likely Saturday. Sky cover will be on a
decreasing trend as the dry air works in on a north to northwest
low level flow. Temperatures dropping into the 30s tonight will
rebound to around 60 on Saturday in an increasing southwest flow
ahead of a disturbance to the north.-- End Changed Discussion --
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.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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Period begins with a cold front trailing Southern Canada low
pressure, producing a chance of rain showers Saturday night
across northern locations. Drier and cooler weather returns
Sunday under weak ridging. A mid-level disturbance rounding a
long wave trough will bring colder and unsettled weather
conditions on Monday, with scattered snow showers resulting in
light accumulations on grassy surfaces. A slight chance of snow
showers will linger over northern locations on Tuesday. High
pressure and dry weather reappear on Wednesday, before slight
shower chances return ahead of low pressure on Thursday.
As we move into astronomical spring, temperatures will fluctuate
accordingly. Highs around 50 on Sunday will retreat to the 30s
and 40s Monday under notable cold advection. A gradual rebound
to the 40s and 50s can be expected for Tuesday and Wednesday
before readings reach the low 50s to low 60s on Thursday.-- End Changed Discussion --
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.AVIATION /05Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Low pressure near Lake Erie will continue to negatively impact
aviation. Thunderstorms have weakened and moved southeast, so
removed them from the forecast. Will see showers at or in the
vicinity of TAF sites for several more hours. Ceilings will drop
to MVFR and then IFR as low level moisture arrives along a
cold front trailing the low. Winds will shift to north after
frontal passage, with speeds over 10 knots. Improvement to VFR
is expected later in the forecast as drier air circulates in
ahead of high pressure.
OUTLOOK...MVFR conditions possible Saturday night and again on
Monday.
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.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Coniglio
NEAR TERM...Coniglio
SHORT TERM...Coniglio
LONG TERM...Coniglio
AVIATION...Coniglio