Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 191751 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 151 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER ONTARIO WILL EXTEND SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. BASED ON THE LATEST 925 MB TEMPERATURE FORECASTS...HAVE NUDGED TEMPERATURES UP A LITTLE ACROSS THE SRN TWO THIRDS OF THE CWFA. THE NRN CWFA LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK AND MUCH COOLER GIVEN ENE AIR FLOW COMING OFF A COLD LAKE ERIE. THUS...UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 60S NORTH TO THE LOWER 70S ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE REGION INTO MONDAY AS IT SLOWLY SHIFTS EAST WITH TIME. CLOUD COVER WILL BE AT A MINIMUM INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PERHAPS SOME DIURNAL CUMULUS. DRY ATMOSPHERE WILL RESULT IN A FAIRLY LARGE DIURNAL RANGE. AFTER A RELATIVELY COOL NIGHT TONIGHT READINGS WILL REBOUND TO ABOVE NORMAL AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL START TO INCREASE ON MONDAY IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT OFF TO THE WEST. ALTHOUGH FORCING IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG OR ORGANIZED...THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN WESTERN COUNTIES MONDAY AFTERNOON. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS STILL SEEM LIKELY WITH THIS SYSTEM. INSTABILITY LOOKS LIMITED AT THIS POINT WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. COOL DOWN WILL BE BRIEF WITH READINGS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY AND THEN BACK ABOVE NORMAL ON THURSDAY. NEXT COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. && .AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR JAMES BAY WILL MOVE TO EASTERN QUEBEC TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...A RIDGE AXIS WILL EXTENDED SOUTHWEST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING. ON SUNDAY...RETURN FLOW FROM DEPARTING HIGH TO OUR EAST WILL ALLOW WINDS TO VEER TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. HIGH CLOUDS WILL SPILL INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS CLOUDS MAY DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
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&& .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM...HICKMAN SHORT TERM... LONG TERM... AVIATION...HICKMAN

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