Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 232351 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 751 PM EDT TUE SEP 23 2014 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/... CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP OFF QUICKLY THIS EVENING. WENT ON THE COOL SIDE OR SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN GUIDANCE FOR LOW TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT WITH GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING SETUP. KEPT LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S HOWEVER CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED OVERNIGHT LOW IN THE 30S. DRY AIRMASS IS IN PLACE HOWEVER SOME RIVER VALLEY FOG WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 70S WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND 50S. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. CLEAR SKIES WILL GIVE WAY TO A FEW MID AND HIGH CLOUDS LATER IN THE SHORT TERM. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS PATTERN WILL ALLOW CLEAR...DRY WEATHER TO PERSIST DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE LONG TERM. THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL START TO MOVE EAST ON MONDAY...WHILE AN UPPER TROUGH AND WEAK SURFACE LOW DEVELOP TO THE WEST. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO LIFT ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. MOISTURE...ISENTROPIC LIFT...AND INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE ON A SOUTHEAST FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STARTING MONDAY AFTERNOON IN SOUTHWEST COUNTIES...SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. GUIDANCE INDICATES HIGHS CLOSE TO 80 FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY... SLIPPING A BIT INTO THE MID AND UPPER 70S TUESDAY UNDER CLOUDS AND PRECIP. NORMAL HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S. && .AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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A LARGE REGION OF SFC HIGH CENTERED OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE OUR WX. THIS DRY AIRMASS WILL PROVIDE MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS. THE EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED FOG WHICH WILL AFFECT KLUK OVERNIGHT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT EAST ON WEDNESDAY. OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
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&& .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...NOVAK NEAR TERM...NOVAK SHORT TERM...NOVAK LONG TERM...CONIGLIO AVIATION...AR

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