Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 180829 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 429 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 .SYNOPSIS...
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A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR THE WEEKEND.
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&& .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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A WEAK COLD FRONT IN NORTHWEST INDIANA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. MOISTURE AND LIFT ARE QUITE LIMITED AND THE CHANCE OF MEASURABLE RAIN LOOKS MINIMAL AT BEST WITH A SOMEWHAT BETTER CHANCE IN THE NORTH. BUT AT THIS POINT DO NOT THINK IT EVEN WARRANTS A MENTIONABLE POP. THERE WILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUDS BETWEEN THOSE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT AND THOSE WITH A SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER STILL EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE PERSISTENCE.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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HIGH PRESSURE TRACKING ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY FOR SATURDAY BUT THEN REBOUND INTO THE 70S ON SUNDAY.
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&& .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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SOUTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN DEPARTING HIGH AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. 00Z MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT MOVING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING. HAVE GENERALLY GONE WITH MID RANGE POPS. HOWEVER GIVEN TIME OF DAY THE CHANCE OF THUNDER LOOKS LIMITED. ANOTHER HIGH WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THIS FRONT. THERE WILL BE A TEMPORARY COOL DOWN ON WEDNESDAY WITH A QUICK RECOVERY IN READINGS ON THURSDAY.
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&& .AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TAF SITES ON FRIDAY. MOISTURE IS LIMITED WITH THIS FEATURE AND THEREFORE LEFT PRECIPITATION MENTION OUT OF THE TAFS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR A SHOWER WOULD BE MID DAY TO EARLY AFTERNOON AT KDAY HOWEVER DUE TO THE LOW PROBABILITY HAVE LEFT MENTION OUT OF THE TAF AT THIS TIME. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE TAF SITES ON FRIDAY HOWEVER CIGS WILL REMAIN VFR. OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM... AVIATION...NOVAK

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