Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 171741 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1241 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A warm front will lift north across the region today. This will be the start of an extended period of much above normal temperatures. A few rain showers will possible Saturday afternoon and Saturday night across southern Ohio and northern Kentucky, as an upper level disturbance tracks through the Tennessee valley. Temperatures are expected to be close to 20 degrees above normal, Saturday through Tuesday, with the next chance for rain showers late Tuesday with the approach of a front. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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Sunny skies will prevail through the remainder of the day. Temperatures remain on track.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... Mid/upper level ridge to build east across the Great Lakes tonight. In warm sector skies to start out mostly clear this evening. As southern upper level low over the southern plains moves into the lower MS Valley late tonight, expect to see an increase in high level clouds from the southwest. Temperatures will be very mild with lows close to normal highs. Expect lows from the upper 30s northeast to the lower 40s southwest. Upper level low to open and track from the lower MS Valley into the TN Valley Saturday. Northern extent of rain showers associated with 700 mb deformation zone to develop into ILN/s southern counties, mainly along and south of the Ohio River Saturday afternoon. Temperatures look to be close to 20 degrees above normal, generally in the lower 60s. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Upper trough bringing a chance of showers will be exiting east Saturday night. Extensive high pressure at the surface and aloft will then provide dry and warm weather Sunday into Tuesday. A front stretching from the polar regions to the tropics is forecast to push through with showers late Tuesday into Wednesday. High pressure and dry conditions are indicated for Thursday. Temperatures will be far above normal due to warm advection and sunshine. Highs mainly in the 60s are expected through the period. This compares to normal highs in the low to mid 40s. && .AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
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VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period. Skies will be mainly clear until after 12Z. A system passing south of the region will spread mid clouds in. Could be a shower in the Cincinnati area, but probability is much too low to include in the TAFs. OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings are possible Saturday night into Sunday.
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&& .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...AR NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM...AR LONG TERM...Coniglio AVIATION...

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