Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Remove Highlighting --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KILN 190522 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 122 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BECOME REESTABLISHED FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/... WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES...SKIES WILL STAY CLEAR THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS. LOWS WILL BE JUST SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT...WITH LOW 50S URBAN AREAS DOWN INTO THE 40S RURAL. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST CANADA WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST WHILE UPPER HEIGHTS FLATTEN. THIS WILL RESULT IN WINDS VEERING DURING THE PERIOD WITH GRADUALLY WARMING TEMPERATURES. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION LATE ON SATURDAY NIGHT. INSTABILITY IS MARGINAL BUT COULD SEE SOME THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS. HOWEVER SHOWERS SHOULD BE MORE PREDOMINANT. AND EVEN AT THAT NOT SURE THAT IT WILL BE MORE THAN SCATTERED ACTIVITY. SEEING LITTLE REASON TO VARY MUCH FROM MOS TEMPERATURE ENVELOPE. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... PRECIPITATION WILL BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM. MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH PRIMARILY DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE DAY ON SUNDAY AND TAPERING OFF MOST LOCATIONS BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE NAM IS THE OUTLIER WITH THE SLOWER SOLUTION AND DISREGARDED THIS SOLUTION AND WENT TOWARDS THE CONSENSUS OF THE FASTER SOLUTION. WITH PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT OF PRECIPITATION MOVING THROUGH KEPT LIKELY PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY MORNING. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE AREA AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM TIME PERIOD. WITH THE COOLER AIRMASS IN PLACE AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY GETTING CLOSER TO NORMAL BY THE END OF THE LONG TERM ON THURSDAY. && .AVIATION /05Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH THE AIR MASS IS FAIRLY DRY...EARLY MORNING VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE...GENERALLY LIMITED TO MVFR LEVELS AT THE PRONE AIRPORTS. KLUK MAY BE CAPABLE OF BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS IN THE FEW HOURS BEFORE SUNRISE. ASIDE FROM SOME LIGHT CUMULUS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS...SKIES SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY CLEAR. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM ENE TO SW THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...GENERALLY REMAINING AT OR BELOW 10 KNOTS. OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM...NOVAK AVIATION...HATZOS

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.