Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Remove Highlighting --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KILN 280840 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 440 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUED WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY. MOISTURE WILL WORK INTO EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY...ALLOWING FOR A FEW SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... H5 RIDGE AXIS WILL SLIDE A LTL EAST BECOMING CENTERED ALONG THE EASTERN SEA BOARD. LATEST IR SATL IMGRY SHOWS A GOOD DEAL OF HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS UPSTREAM. A MID/UPR LEVEL SRLY FLOW WILL ALLOW THESE CLOUDS TO STREAM NORTH OVERSPREADING ILN/S FA TODAY. EXPECT A PARTLY CLOUDY SKY WITH FILTERED SUNSHINE THRU THESE HIGH CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S NORTH TO THE LOWER 80S SOUTH. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/... WEAK MID LEVEL S/W AND INVERTED TROF TO PASS THRU THE TN VLY TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. BEST MOISTURE AND LIFT TO STAY TO OUR SE... SO HAVE KEPT FORECAST DRY AND ONLY ALLOWED FOR SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS. LOWS TONIGHT TO BE A LTL MILDER RANGING FORM THE LOWER 50S NE TO NEAR 60 SW. WITH THIS SYSTEM SHIFTING EAST ON MONDAY WILL ALLOW FOR A DECREASE IN CLOUDS DURING THE AFTN FROM THE WEST AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. HIGHS AGAIN WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S NORTH TO THE LOWER 80S SOUTH. MODEL SOLN/S SHOW SOME DIFFERENCES MAINLY IN STRENGTH BUT SHOW MID LEVEL S/W DROPPING SE THRU THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND WEAKENING SFC FRONT DROPPING INTO OHIO TUESDAY. LATEST ECMWF SOLN IS STRONGEST CLOSING OFF UPPER LOW AND FURTHEST WEST...WHILE CONSENSUS KEEPS MAIN PCPN AREA TO OUR NE PRIOR TO FALLING APART. AT THIS TIME HAVE JUST ALLOWED FOR AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ABOVE NORMAL BUT HAVE SHAVED A FEW DEGREES OFF HIGHS MAINLY IN THE NORTH DUE TO THIS CLOUD COVER. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH BUILDING UPPER HEIGHTS. TROUGHING WILL START TO DEVELOP IN THE MID SECTION OF THE NATION ON THURSDAY AND THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFF RESULTING IN SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW. CONDITIONS WILL STAY DRY WITH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL. TROUGH WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE REGION WHICH WILL HELP PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY. TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAY WHICH WILL RESULT IN COOL CONDITIONS. && .AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. UNDER MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...BR IS EXPECTED TO REDUCE VISIBILITY AT LUK AND ILN TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...LOOK FOR VFR TO CONTINUE. SKY COVER WILL CONSIST OF CIRRUS AND PERHAPS A FEW CUMULUS...AND WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE EAST TO NORTHEAST UNDER 10 KNOTS. OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...AR NEAR TERM...AR SHORT TERM...AR LONG TERM... AVIATION...AR

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.