Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 251958 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 358 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017 .SYNOPSIS...
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An area of low pressure will push east of the region this evening. An unsettled pattern is expected for the weekend with multiple systems moving through the area.
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&& .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
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An area of low pressure will push east of the region this evening. Showers and isolated thunderstorms will move through the region through the early evening hours before tapering off. Brief heavy downpours, small hail, and gusty winds will be possible with these showers and thunderstorms. Went close to the blend for low temperatures overnight with lows in the 50s.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
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Dry conditions will be present for much of the day on Friday. A low pressure system will begin to quickly move towards the area Friday evening into Friday night. Showers and thunderstorms will move through the region. Isolated damaging winds will be the primary threat, however cannot rule out some isolated large hail as well.
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&& .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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Weak cold front will be laying out across the region at the beginning of the period. Some showers and thunderstorms may occur with this feature as it moves in. With further destabilization in the afternoon, there could be some additional development near this boundary although forcing does not look particularly strong. However, 12Z model suite has a pretty good signal that convection will become organized in the mid Mississippi Valley with the MCS then moving across the region late Saturday night into Sunday. A large upper level low will slowly track across Ontario for the first half of the week and then weaken and lift Thursday. This will result in cool conditions across the region through the rest of the period. A short wave rotating around the upper low may bring some showers and possible thunder on Tuesday.
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&& .AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Area of low pressure will move off to the east this evening and precipitation will gradually taper off. IFR and MVFR cigs will gradually improve by the end of the TAF period. If there are some breaks in the clouds overnight then fog will also be a concern. OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings, visibilities, along with a chance of thunderstorms possible Friday night into Monday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Novak NEAR TERM...Novak SHORT TERM...Novak LONG TERM... AVIATION...Novak

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