Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 280538 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 138 AM EDT MON JUL 28 2014 .SYNOPSIS... A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THIS EVENING...FOLLOWED BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CROSSING EAST OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT. A STRONG PUSH OF COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SPRINKLES DURING THE DAY...WHICH WILL LIKELY OCCUR THROUGH MID-WEEK. A LONG WAVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE FOUND TO THE EAST...RESULTING IN WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/... REMOVED ALL BUT THE FAR NORTH AND FAR SOUTHEAST FROM THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO THE LOW 60S IN MOST LOCATIONS. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED IN THE COLD AIR TOMORROW...AT LEAST A VERY BKN CU FIELD. SHOWERS AND WIDESPREAD SPRINKLES APPEAR TO BE INDICATED DURING THE AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDWEEK...ESPECIALLY IN THE COLDEST AIR OVER NORTHERN CWA. THESE SHOWERS MAY PUSH SOUTH TO THE OHIO RIVER MONDAY BUT WILL LIKELY NOT REACH THAT FAR SOUTH ON TUES OR WED. CUTOFF LOW AND LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL PARK ITSELF OVER THE THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY...KEEPING WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF LATE DAY SPRINKLES/SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... AIRMASS SHOULD MODIFY SOMEWHAT BY THURS AND FRI THAT THE SHOWERS DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING WILL NOT BE AS PREVALENT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL AS NORTHERLY FLOW PERSISTS OVER THE REGION. ADDITIONAL UPPER LEVEL ENERGY DROPS INTO THE ERN U.S. MEAN TROF OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS RESULTS IN THE TROF DEEPENING AGAIN. THE GFS IS MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS THAN THE ECMWF. THERE SHOULD BE ENUF LIFT BOTH DAYS FOR DIURNAL CONVECTION TO DEVELOP. WILL CARRY CHANCE POPS IN THE E AND SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE W ON SATURDAY AND CHANCE POPS ALL LOCATIONS SUNDAY AS THE TROF LIFTS E. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND. && .AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING. MVFR DECK SPREADING SOUTHEAST FROM LAKE MICHIGAN WILL BEGIN TO REACH TERMINALS FROM KILN NORTHWARD JUST BEFORE SUNRISE. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE MVFR CLOUD DECK WILL BEGIN TO LIFT TO VFR LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AS SOME DRIER AIR BEGINS TO WORK ITS WAY INTO THE REGION. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO CLEAR LATER THIS EVENING. OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...FRANKS NEAR TERM...FRANKS SHORT TERM...FRANKS LONG TERM...FRANKS/SITES AVIATION...LATTO

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