Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 160815 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 415 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014 .SYNOPSIS...
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HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST TODAY AND SETTLE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT. THE AXIS OF THE HIGH WILL CROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ON SATURDAY AND A RETURN TO SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL OCCUR OVER THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PROVIDE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY.
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&& .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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DRIER AIR IS PUSHING INTO NORTHERN CWA AND IS ORIENTED ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR THIS MORNING...MOVING SOUTHWARD AND MARKING AN END TO THE SHOWERS AND SPRINKLES OVER THE REGION. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL BE FOUND IN ITS WAKE AND PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTH OF IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE PUSHED SOUTHWARD. BY DAYBREAK...ANY SHOWERS SHOULD BE LIMITED TO SOUTH OF A CHILLICOTHE...GEORGETOWN... CARROLLTON LINE AND PRIMARILY BE FOUND IN SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY. CLOUD COVER WILL BE IN QUICK DECLINE BY THE AFTERNOON AND THE LOW CLOUDS MIX OUT OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF OF CWA. CLOUDS OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL GRADUALLY MIX OUT LATER TODAY IN FAVOR OF CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
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HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE A NORTHERLY DRYING WIND OVER THE REGION WITH GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH REINFORCING HIGH PRESSURE IN THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES WILL CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY. WHERE A FEW DEGREES OF MODERATION WOULD BE EXPECTED TO BUMP HIGHS THURSDAY FROM WEDNESDAY...THE COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH WILL KEEP AT LEAST AS COOL OF A DAY IN STORE WITH LITTLE CHANGE FROM WEDNESDAYS HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN THE COMFORTABLY COOL UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S. ONE EXCEPTION IS TONIGHT WHERE THE INITIAL PUSH OF COLD AIR WILL HAVE TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM AROUND 40 IN THE FAR NORTHWEST TO THE UPPER 40S OVER NORTHERN KENTUCKY.
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&& .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
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MID LEVEL FLOW BACKS SOUTHWESTERLY AHEAD OF MID LEVEL TROF DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL US. WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY ON SATURDAY AND WILL ALLOW FOR A WARM UP. EXPECT HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 70S NORTH TO AROUND 80 SOUTH. PROGRESSIVE MID LEVEL TROF TO TRANSLATE EAST WITH ASSOCIATED SFC COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY SUNDAY. WILL INTRODUCE CHANCE POPS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE NORTHWEST AND ACRS THE ENTIRE FA SUNDAY.
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&& .AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... H5 S/W HAS IS WORKING E OF THE REGION QUICKLY TONIGHT. AT THE SFC...CDFNT HAS PUSHED THROUGH THE TAFS...LEAVING AN AREA OF POST FRONTAL DRIZZLE ACROSS THE MIDDLE. THE DRIZZLE SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE TAFS IN THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS....BUT CIGS WILL LOWER TO IFR BEHIND IT. MVFR TO IFR VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE SUNRISE. AFT 12Z...THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LINGER THRU THE MORNING HOURS LEAVING MVFR CIGS ACROSS THE TAFS. DURING THE AFTN...THE CLOUDS WILL START TO MIX AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TONIGHT...RESULTING IN CLEARING SKIES. OUTLOOK...MVFR/IFR VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...FRANKS NEAR TERM...FRANKS SHORT TERM...FRANKS LONG TERM...AR AVIATION...SITES

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