Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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547 FXUS61 KILN 241428 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1028 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will move through the region today. High pressure will work into the area tonight and allow for dry conditions through Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms will return for Thursday and Thursday night as a cold front approaches and moves through the region. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A low chance of a shower or isolated thunderstorm exists along and southeast of the I-71 corridor later this morning into the afternoon. Some lower stratus extending ne from KILN is going to slightly hamper temperature recoveries early on, but eventually this will mix out and a cu field should battle the drier air that is in place according to this morning`s sounding. Highs will be noticeably cooler in the 70s along the I-70 corridor, and only reach the middle 80s south of the Ohio River. This will also limit the potential for showers to develop, and if they do, for thunder to occur. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/... High pressure will work into the region tonight and remain across the area for the short term period. Tranquil weather conditions are expected along with cooler than normal temperatures for this time of year. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Ridge of high pressure will continue to extend across the region into Wednesday with dry conditions and nearly seasonal temperatures. A short wave will drop southeast through the Great Lakes on Thursday pushing a cold front towards the area. Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage through the day and continue into the evening. As the cold front moves through Thursday night, precipitation will end. Upper level long wave trough will become established and persist through the weekend. At the surface, high pressure will remain centered to the northwest of the area bringing a prolonged period of northeasterly winds. This fetch off of Lake Erie may bring some extra clouds and perhaps even a few showers into northwest counties. Temperatures will be slightly below normal Friday through the weekend. && .AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Fog this morning will improve as the morning progresses. There are some isolated low cigs around and there will be the possibility of these briefly moving in the TAF sites this morning. In addition later today some MVFR cigs may work into the TAF sites. Believe these will be more isolated in nature and therefore went with VFR conditions later today. A cold front will move through the TAF sites today. Although isolated showers and storms will be around the region, with the isolated nature of the precipitation did not include in the TAFs. Cloud cover will decrease this evening after the passage of the frontal boundary. Some fog will be possible then tonight at KLUK. There is also the potential for fog at the other area TAF sites tonight as well, but with drier air moving in kept fog mention to the more fog prone KLUK site. OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms will be possible Thursday into Thursday night. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Novak NEAR TERM...Novak SHORT TERM...Novak LONG TERM... AVIATION...Novak

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