Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 210752 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 352 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2016 .SYNOPSIS...
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Drier and cooler weather will move into the region today in the wake of a cold front. High pressure will then settle across the Ohio Valley by Monday. The high will continue to influence the region`s weather into Tuesday. Mostly sunny, warm days followed by cool and clear nights can be expected through early week. Warmer, more humid weather, along with a threat for showers and thunderstorms, will return mid to late week as a cold front approaches the region.
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&& .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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A cold front will move through the region this morning. There could be some scattered shower activity along and ahead of the front, mainly across our se CWFA through mid morning. Otherwise, skies will gradually clear from west to east, with mostly sunny skies expected for all locations by early afternoon. An embedded disturbance moving through a mid level trough across the Great Lakes should stay to our north this afternoon into this evening, keeping associated scattered showers/storms to our north. We may see some increased cloud cover, however, over the northwest zones late in the day. Highs will range from the upper 70s to the lower 80s with much lower humidities expected.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
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High pressure to our west will move east, settling across the Ohio Valley Monday into Monday night. Skies will clear tonight, followed by a mostly sunny Monday. Skies will be mainly clear Monday night. Lows tonight will range from the mid to upper 50s. Highs on Monday will range from the upper 70s to the lower 80s once again. The coolest readings are expected Monday night with clear skies and light to calm winds, providing excellent radiational cooling conditions. Lows will be in the lower to mid 50s. The center of high pressure will move toward the Atlantic seaboard on Tuesday. However, surface ridging will still extend back into the Ohio Valley. Mostly sunny skies are forecast with airmass modfication occurring. After a cool start, highs should warm into the lower and mid 80s. For Tuesday night into Wednesday, return flow will develop between high pressure to our east and a slow-moving cold front to our west. This will begin the process of increasing low level moisture back into the region along with an increase in clouds. Partly cloudy skies and highs in the mid to upper 80s are expected on Wednesday. Will maintain a chance for some showers and thunderstorms as we head into Wednesday night as deeper moisture along with some lift due to waa occurs ahead of the slow-moving front.
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&& .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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A better chance for showers and thunderstorms will occur Thursday into Thursday night as the cold front pushes southeast across the area. Warm and humid weather will continue with highs in the mid and upper 80s. High pressure and a drier airmass will build back into the area behind the front for Friday and Saturday. Highs for Friday and Saturday will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
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&& .AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... By 06Z, chances for rain at the TAF sites will be very low, with just some scattered patches of MVFR (possibly IFR) ceilings to contend with for the next few hours. As a cold front moves through the area, winds will shift to the west early this morning, and skies will eventually clear out. VFR conditions are expected through the day today, with westerly winds gusting up to around 20 knots. Tranquil conditions with generally clear skies are expected going into this evening. OUTLOOK...Showers and thunderstorms are possible on Thursday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Haines/Hickman NEAR TERM...Hickman SHORT TERM...Hickman LONG TERM...Hickman/JGL AVIATION...Hatzos

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