Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 212018 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 418 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY EXTEND INTO THE AREA TONIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR THE WEEKEND. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/... SHORT WAVE JUST NORTHWEST OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL QUICKLY MOVE OFF TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING. RADAR IS SHOWING SOME LIGHT ECHOES MOVING ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE. APPEARS THAT THIS IS GENERALLY SPRINKLES. SUBSIDENCE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SHORT WAVE SHOULD ALLOW FOR CLEARING DURING THE EVENING. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BUT NOT COMPLETELY DECOUPLE. FORECAST LOWS WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO OF MOS. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BE IN NORTHERN OHIO AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD. THIS WILL PROGRESS SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY. THERE WILL BE A BAND OF CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AND CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW SHOWERS IN EASTERN COUNTIES. BUT CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE NO MORE THAN A SLIGHT CHANCE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE THE COOLEST TIME FRAME AS GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL SET UP. GENERALLY WENT SLIGHTLY BELOW GUIDANCE FOR LOWS BOTH NIGHTS. STAYED NEAR A MOS BLEND FOR HIGHS EXCEPT IN CENTRAL OHIO WHERE FORECAST LEANS TOWARDS THE COOLER NUMBERS. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... DRY CONDITIONS WILL START OUT THE LONG TERM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SITUATED EAST OF THE AREA AND SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO RISE INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S ON SUNDAY. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FA. A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE FOR MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EACH DAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 80S EACH DAY WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S. && .AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... A MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE PUSHING THROUGH THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON IS HELPING TO PRODUCE A FEW SPRINKLES/VERY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. ANY PCPN SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT AND SHOULD PIVOT OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. CIGS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN VFR AND AS WE GET ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SHORT WAVE...EXPECT TO SEE SKIES CLEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP DOWN INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY. MOISTURE IS LIMITED WITH THIS THOUGH SO THINK THE NET RESULT WILL PRIMARILY JUST BE SOME SCT TO POSSIBLY BKN MVFR CU TOWARD THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...WITH MVFR CIGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM...NOVAK AVIATION...JGL

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