Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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256 FXUS61 KILN 281043 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 643 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure off the East Coast will result in warm and humid conditions with a chance of showers and thunderstorms through Sunday. A weak cold front will move through Sunday night. High pressure will build in Monday. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Persistent showers that have been moving across central Kentucky should eventually expand into eastern Indiana and western Ohio this morning. Sheared short wave over the lower Mississippi Valley will move north northeast across the region later in the day. This will help trigger scattered convection during the afternoon. Forecast highs stayed close to a MOS blend. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/... Convection may linger into the evening in eastern counties before diminishing. Tail end of a trough swinging across the Great Lakes later Sunday may brush by the forecast area. This will also push a weak cold front across the region Sunday night. This may result some showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon into the night. High pressure will build in Monday with a drier airmass. Did not stray too far from MOS for temperatures except for going a bit cooler on Monday. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... High pressure over the region at the beginning of the period will slowly move east but continue to influence the area possibly into Wednesday. Long wave trough will move out of the Plains on Thursday and head into the region on Friday. This will cause a cold front to cross the area late Thursday into Thursday night. There will be enough of a return of moisture ahead of the boundary that showers and thunderstorms will occur along and ahead of the front. Temperatures will remain a bit above normal until Friday when readings will fall back closer to climatology. && .AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
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River valley fog will improve quickly this morning. Dry conditions will start out the TAF period however isolated shower activity southwest of the TAF sites will expand in coverage and move north. Expect scattered showers across the TAF sites at times today. Cannot rule out an isolated thunderstorm however due to the isolated nature decided to leave out of the TAFs at this time. Rain shower activity will taper off this evening. Additional river valley fog will be possible at KLUK tonight. OUTLOOK...Showers and thunderstorms will be possible again on Sunday. There will also be a chance of showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday.
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&& .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM... AVIATION...Novak

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