Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 091025 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 625 AM EDT WED JUL 9 2014 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST TODAY AND SETTLE OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY. THE HIGH WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD ON FRIDAY AND PUSH OFF THE EAST COAST BY SATURDAY. A RETURN TO SOUTHERLY FLOW ON SATURDAY WILL BRING MORE MOIST AND WARMER AIR TO THE OHIO VALLEY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING WILL CLOUD UP AS THE SUN WARMS THE AIR. NEUTRAL H8 TEMP ADVECTION WITH A GENERAL WESTERLY FLOW MAY BE SUPPORTIVE ENOUGH TO MAKE SOME OF THE BKN STRATOCU PRODUCE SHOWERS TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S AND SKIES WILL CLEAR BEFORE THE SUN SETS THIS EVENING. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL TURN MORE NORTHWESTERLY LATE THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND LOWER LEVELS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE COOL AND COMFORTABLE SIDE WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... WITH A TRANSITION TO SOUTHERLY FLOW AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST...TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL BY SATURDAY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASING ON SATURDAY AROUND THE HIGH WILL BRING LOW END CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO DIG SOUTH INTO THE UPPER MID WEST LATE THIS WEEKEND AND WILL BEGIN TO BRING DISTURBANCES ALOFT ACROSS OUR AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THE FORCING FROM THESE DISTURBANCES WILL COMBINE WITH THE INCREASED PRESENCE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO PRODUCE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. LONG RANGE MODELS ARE INDICATING A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE MONDAY WHICH WOULD BRING AN END TO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITH COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER BY NEXT TUESDAY. && .AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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CLOSED H5 LOW NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES WILL ROTATE EAST TODAY. UPPER LEVEL ENERGY ROTATING AROUND THE LOW WILL COMBINE WITH A WEAK SURFACE FRONT TO PRODUCE BKN CU DECK BY LATE MORNING. AN ISOLATED SHOWER WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE NRN TAFS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. SKIES SHOULD BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR. FOG IS POSSIBLE AT THE SRN TAFS WHERE DEWPOINTS WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER. EXPECT IFR FOG AT LUK TOMORROW MORNING. OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
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&& .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...FRANKS NEAR TERM...FRANKS SHORT TERM...FRANKS LONG TERM...HATZOS/LATTO AVIATION...SITES

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