Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 251835 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 135 PM EST THU DEC 25 2014 .SYNOPSIS...
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AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST OF THE AREA TODAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WORKING IN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
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&& .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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MOST OF THE RAIN SHOWERS NOW DISSIPATING AND HEADING EAST...WITH BACK EDGE OF CLOUDS WORKING INTO WESTERN INDIANA. THE ONLY LOCATION TO EXPECT SOME CLEARING BY 6 PM WILL BE IN THE FAR SW FORECAST AREA. HAVE ADJUSTED HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN SLIGHTLY AGAIN WITH THE LINGERING CLOUDS.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR DRY CONDITIONS THIS EVENING THROUGH MOST OF FRIDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND MOVE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT MAINLY RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM HOWEVER AS COLDER AIR WORKS IN SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY BEFORE PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END SUNDAY EVENING. MODELS HAVE COME IN FURTHER SOUTH ON MONDAY. LIMITED ANY PRECIPITATION MENTION TO A SLIGHT CHANCE ACROSS THE SE. WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY TUESDAY. THE 12Z GFS IS MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH A NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WHILE THE ECMWF AND PARALLEL GFS FOCUS MORE ON THE SOUTHERN STREAM FOR PRECIP PRODUCTION. THIS FORECAST WILL INCLUDE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR MID-WEEK. TEMPERATURES WERE DECREASED A BIT FOR THIS SAME TIME IN THE EVENT TROUGHING DOES BECOME MORE PREVALENT ACROSS THE EAST. && .AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... MVFR CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. CLEARING WILL OCCUR TOWARDS 00Z. WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KT WILL WEAKEN AND BACK TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT. OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JDR NEAR TERM...JDR SHORT TERM...NOVAK LONG TERM...SHOBE2 AVIATION...JDR

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