-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS61 KILN 281732
AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
132 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH MID WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN
UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SCATTERED SHOWER
ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
CAA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. WITH THE COOLER AIR MOVING INTO
THE AREA AND CLOUD COVER TEMPERATURES WILL BE LIMITED TODAY TO THE
LOW 70S. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT OUT OF THE 60S
TODAY. A FEW SHOWERS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED AND EXPECT SCATTERED
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT TO INCREASE FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SHOWER
ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE LATER THIS EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
REGION THROUGH MID WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP THE UNSEASONABLY COOL
AIRMASS ACROSS OUR AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. EXPECT LOWS TONIGHT ALL
THE WAY DOWN INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. TEMPERATURES WILL
THEN VERY SLOWLY MODERATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS ON
WEDNESDAY INTO THE MID 70S TO POSSIBLY UPPER 70S ACROSS OUR SOUTH.
SCATTERED DIURNAL SHOWERS WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY BOTH TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. WITH SLIGHTLY BETTER INSTABILITIES PROGGED EACH
DAY...AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
AS WE GET INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AIRMASS SHOULD MODIFY SOMEWHAT BY THURS AND FRI THAT THE SHOWERS
DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING WILL NOT BE AS PREVALENT. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN COOL AS NORTHERLY FLOW PERSISTS OVER THE REGION.

ADDITIONAL UPPER LEVEL ENERGY DROPS INTO THE ERN U.S. MEAN TROF
OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS RESULTS IN THE TROF DEEPENING AGAIN. THE
GFS IS MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS THAN THE ECMWF.

THERE SHOULD BE ENUF LIFT BOTH DAYS FOR DIURNAL CONVECTION TO
DEVELOP. WILL CARRY CHANCE POPS IN THE E AND SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE
W ON SATURDAY AND CHANCE POPS ALL LOCATIONS SUNDAY AS THE TROF
LIFTS E.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE AREA. KEPT VCSH MENTION IN THE TAFS FOR
THIS TIME. A FEW WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE HOWEVER DUE TO THE
LIMITED NATURE OF THE EXPECTED GUSTS DID NOT INCLUDE IN THE TAFS
AT THIS TIME. DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND
THEREFORE DID NOT INCLUDE ANY FOG MENTION IN THE TAFS AT THIS
TIME. CIGS WILL GENERALLY BE VFR HOWEVER A BRIEF MVFR CIG CANNOT
BE RULED OUT THIS AFTERNOON.

OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME..
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JGL
NEAR TERM...NOVAK
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...FRANKS/SITES
AVIATION...NOVAK