Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FXUS61 KILN 222229 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 629 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AND THEN MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/... WEAK BOUNDARY NEAR I-70 WILL PASS THROUGH THE REST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED IN CENTRAL OHIO ALONG THE BOUNDARY. COULD STILL SEEM SOME ACTIVITY IN THE FAR EASTERN COUNTIES THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVERNIGHT. THERE WILL BE SOME HIGH CLOUDS THAT WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE AREA. BUT DO NOT EXPECT THIS TO HAVE MUCH IF ANY INFLUENCE ON DIURNAL COOLING. HAVE GONE BELOW GUIDANCE FOR LOWS. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... RIDGING AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY. SURFACE HIGH WILL SLIDE EAST DURING THE LATTER PORTION OF THE WEEKEND. BUT UPPER HEIGHTS WILL STILL BE BUILDING. EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE WILL BE SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDS FROM TIME TO TIME. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMING. DEW POINTS WILL BE GRADUALLY INCREASING AS WELL PARTICULARLY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. MOS LOOKED REASONABLE FOR HIGHS BUT UNDERCUT IT SLIGHTLY FOR LOWS. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... AN UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE FOR MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL LEAD TO HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE 80S AND LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S. MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES WILL WORK THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH THIS TIME LEADING TO SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DURING THE MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY TIME FRAME. A BREAK IN THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA. MODELS ARE SIMILAR WITH THE MAIN FEATURES IN THE LONG TERM ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME MINOR STRENGTH AND TIMING ISSUES. DUE TO THIS HAVE USED A MODEL BLEND FOR THE LONG TERM TIME PERIOD. && .AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... NOT MANY CHANGES IN STORE FOR THE 0Z TAFS AS A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA. THERE WHERE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS NEAR COLUMBUS BUT THEY HAVE STARTED TO FIZZLE. THERE IS AGAIN A CHANCE OF SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG SATURDAY MORNING AS WINDS WILL LIKELY GO CALM OVERNIGHT. A PRETTY GOOD SHIELD OF HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE STARTED TO PUSH IN FROM THE WEST THOUGH WHICH WILL HELP TO LIMIT THE REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITIES TO MOSTLY MVFR. WINDS REMAIN LIGHT SATURDAY AND TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AS HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY PULLS EAST. MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE ISSUANCE. OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH MVFR CIGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM...NOVAK AVIATION...HAINES

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