Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000 FXUS63 KJKL 290757 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 357 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2015 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 357 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2015 NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS CURRENTLY ALIGNED NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. EASTERN KENTUCKY REMAINS ON THE MORE HUMID SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY...WITH THE AIR MASS NOTICEABLY MORE STICKY COMPARED TO THE LAST FEW DAYS. A WEAK IMPULSE OR TWO WILL ONCE AGAIN PASS THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY IN BETWEEN THE UPPER RIDGE ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD...AND THE TROUGH ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS. EASTERN KENTUCKY WILL BE ON THE EDGE OF THE TRAJECTORY OF THESE IMPULSES...HOWEVER GIVEN THE WEAKER CAP IN PLACE AND LIKELY MORE INSTABILITY BUILDING TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...SCATTERED CONVECTION SEEMS LIKE A GOOD BET. HIGHS WILL BE WARMER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...WITH LESS CLOUDS...GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S. CONVECTION WILL DIE OFF WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING TONIGHT...WITH LOWS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 60S...AND PATCHY FOG SETTING UP...PARTICULARLY AT LOCATIONS THAT SEE SUSTAINED RAINFALL. A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MAKE ITS PUSH ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ON SATURDAY...HOWEVER THERE ALSO BE DRIER AIR IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVELS. THIS WILL KEEP MORE OF A GRADIENT OF POPS ACROSS THE AREA...WITH BETTER STORM CHANCES NEAR I-64...AND LESSER CHANCES TO THE SOUTHEAST. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 80S IN THE NORTH...TO THE UPPER 80S IN THE SOUTHEAST. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY) THE LONG TERM DISCUSSION WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...GEOGERIAN LONG TERM...JMW AVIATION...GEOGERIAN

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