Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000 FXUS63 KJKL 242116 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 416 PM EST SAT JAN 24 2015 .SHORT TERM...
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(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 415 PM EST SAT JAN 24 2015 CURRENT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA FEATURE SOME EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH. WITH THIS HAS BEEN SOME LIGHT FLURRY ACTIVITY OR SPRINKLES MAINLY TAKING AIM OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. WILL KEEP A MENTION OF FLURRIES AND A POSSIBLE SNOW SHOWER OVER THE AREA AND ESPECIALLY OVER THE EAST IN MARTIN AND PIKE COUNTY. WITH THIS FEATURE...CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING AND THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS HAS KEPT TEMPERATURES SUPPRESSED THROUGH THE DAY TODAY BUT WITH WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST REMAINING UP IN MOST LOCATIONS TONIGHT...WILL LOOK LIKE TEMPS MAY REMAIN STEADY OR SLOWLY FALL THROUGH THE NIGHT. HOWEVER...SOME CONCERN HERE WILL BE OVER THE SOUTH WHERE A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER MAY RESULT IN TEMPS FALLING FURTHER...ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS. AS WELL...SOME CONCERN FOR PATCHY FOG WAS A POSSIBLE OCCURRENCE TONIGHT WHERE SNOW HAD FALLEN IN THE NORTH BUT WITH REMAINING CLOUD COVER AND WINDS SLIGHTLY UP...WILL LIKELY NOT DEVELOP MORE THAN PATCHY INSTANCES IF AT ALL SO LEFT THIS OUT OF THE FORECAST. CONCERNING SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY WITH THE APPROACHING CLIPPER SYSTEM...MODELS HAVE TRENDED DRY WITH THIS FEATURE AND SLIGHTLY WARMER BUT WILL STILL SEEM TO BE DEALING WITH SHOWERS FOR SUNDAY AS THIS FRONT ARRIVES. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING TEMPERATURES UP INTO THE 40S DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY BEFORE THE COLDER AIR MOVES IN SUNDAY NIGHT. DEALING WITH A CONVECTIVE PROCESS AND THE RIGHT WIND DIRECTION FOR UPSLOPE FLOW WILL MAKE FOR THE CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. AS THE CASE IN THESE EVENTS...THE DEPTH OF THE MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN DOES BEGIN TO EXIT COME MONDAY AFTERNOON DURING THE UPSLOPE PORTION OF THIS EVENT SO SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE LIMITED FOR THE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY PERIOD. RIGHT NOW THINKING THAT THE VALLEYS AND THE BLUEGRASS REGION WILL BE UNDER AN INCH TOTAL WITH MORE THAN AN INCH ABOVE 2000 FEET. WILL MENTION THIS THREAT IN THE HWO BUT THE OCCURRENCE BEING SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MAY REQUIRE SOME FURTHER CONSIDERATION TO HIGHLIGHT THE IMPACT TO THE MORNING COMMUTE ON MONDAY. .LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 415 PM EST SAT JAN 24 2015 THE LONG TERM DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.
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&& .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 101 PM EST SAT JAN 24 2015 AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING UP THE EAST COAST CONTINUES TO EXIT...ANOTHER TROUGH WILL MOVE DOWN THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY KEEPING IFR AND MVFR CEILINGS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE NIGHT TONIGHT. SOME BREAKS MAY OCCUR BETWEEN NOW AND LATER TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. CEILINGS WILL BEGIN TO LIFT LATE TONIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING BUT SHOULD REMAIN OVERCAST AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...SHALLENBERGER LONG TERM...JP AVIATION...SHALLENBERGER

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