Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000 FXUS63 KJKL 240745 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 345 AM EDT Mon Oct 24 2016 .SHORT TERM...
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(Today through Tuesday) Issued at 345 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2016 A dry cold front currently just north of the Ohio river this morning, will work south across the area today. Conditions have remained somewhat mixed overnight with temperatures still holding in the mid 50s in most areas. Some of the eastern valleys have decoupled and fallen back into the 40s. Either way, cold front will lack any cloud cover, so with the sun coming up this morning, we will quickly warm just ahead of the front reaching the mid 60s to around 70 in most places today. With drier and cooler air settling in behind the front tonight, lows will be much cooler with some mid 30s showing up in the deeper valleys of eastern Kentucky. With the dry air lagging behind the front, it looks like conditions should favor more fog formation tonight in the river valleys. Model sounds show a tremendous amount of dry air just off the surface on Tuesday. Model blend continues to handle this dry air very poorly and have undercut all guidance with respect to afternoon/early evening dewpoints. Have dropped most places a good 5 degrees under guidance. The dry air will also lead to highs above guidance. In fact, 850mb temperatures warm a degree or two heading into Tuesday. Right now going to shoot for highs in the mid 60s to around 70, not too far off from today`s temperatures. We could be a degree or two cooler just because we will be starting off the day much cooler. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 345 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2016 Long term discussion will follow shortly.
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&& .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night) ISSUED AT 140 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2016 VFR conditions will continue through Monday night. Steady southwest winds will continue overnight before a windshift to the northwest with a dry frontal passage Monday morning. The northwest winds will subside to light and variable after 23z Monday. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...KAS LONG TERM...GUSEMAN AVIATION...KAS is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.