Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000 FXUS63 KJKL 260717 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 317 AM EDT Wed Oct 26 2016 .SHORT TERM...
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(Today through Thursday) Issued at 317 AM EDT WED OCT 26 2016 High clouds continue to stream across the region early this morning. These clouds have had little impact on temperatures as our eastern valleys have fallen into the middle 30s and will likely fall into the lower 30s by daybreak. This should be cold enough for some patchy frost. Plan to let the frost advisory run with no changes. The cold weather will be short lived as a warm front will lift northward across the region today, with temperatures climbing into the 70s by this afternoon. High clouds will likely thin out as the front lifts north today. However, an approaching mid level trough will bring increasing mid/high clouds again tonight as it moves into the Ohio river valley. Still expect our eastern valleys to decouple early on tonight and fall quickly back into the 40s by late evening. As the trough moves closer overnight, gradient will increase and we may see those temperatures start to come up a bit, especially as the clouds thicken up overnight. The ECMWF has slowed down the trough to match the GFS, so it looks like the main rain chances will come on Thursday. However, models have trended weaker with the system and now looks like much of the area could see very little if any rainfall with this system. In fact, most models agree no more than a few hundredths of an inch of rainfall will fall at most. Thus, pops have been cut way back and for southwest areas, only a mention of sprinkles is warranted at this time. With the weaker system, have also removed any mention of thunder. .LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 317 AM EDT WED OCT 26 2016 Long term discussion will follow shortly.
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&& .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night) ISSUED AT 124 AM EDT WED OCT 26 2016 VFR conditions will be experienced through the period. Southwest winds will develop between 5 and 10 knots late Wednesday morning and continue through the afternoon. High/mid clouds will begin to thicken late in the period. Some low level wind shear may develop ahead of an approaching cold front tomorrow evening as winds die off at the TAF sites. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Frost Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for KYZ052-060-069- 080-085>088-104-106>120. && $$ SHORT TERM...KAS LONG TERM...GUSEMAN AVIATION...KAS is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.