Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000 FXUS63 KJKL 041908 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 308 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 .SHORT TERM...
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(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 307 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 MULTIPLE BANDS OF SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS KY...OH AND INDIANA. THERE HAS NOT BEEN ANY LIGHTNING SO FAR WITH THE BAND OF SHOWERS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM MOREHEAD TO SOMERSET. HOWEVER LIGHTNING IS SHOWING UP WITH SOME OF THE STORMS FURTHER WEST NEAR AND ALONG THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. STILL FEEL A FEW CLAPS OF THUNDER ARE POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THE THUNDER POSSIBILITY IN THE FORECAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER LOW MOVES SOUTHEAST FROM LAKE MI INTO KY. THERE IS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER LOW MOVING SE OF KY ON THURSDAY. WITH THE COLD MID AND UPPER LEVEL TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW MORE SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. FOR NOW WILL LEAVE OUT THUNDER FOR THURSDAY IN AGREEMENT WITH NEIGHBORING OFFICES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. .LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 307 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 UPDATED DISCUSSION WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY.
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&& .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 139 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 AN AREA OF SHOWERS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. CONDITIONS IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON WILL BE VFR...BUT WILL TEMPORARILY DIMINISH TO MVFR AS THE SHOWERS MOVE THROUGH. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL...ESPECIALLY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL BE MINIMAL. HAVE CARRIED A VCTS IN THE TAFS TO ACCOUNT FOR THUNDER POSSIBILITY. CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN TO VFR AFTER THE SHOWERS END. AFTER THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE TONIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST...AND CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER WITH MVFR CEILINGS PREVAILING THURSDAY MORNING. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...SBH LONG TERM...DJ AVIATION...SBH

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