Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000 FXUS63 KJKL 202003 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 303 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018 .SHORT TERM...
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(This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 303 PM EST TUE FEB 20 2018 Impressive height anomalies over eastern Kentucky has led to record breaking high temperatures today. We have in fact set the all time record high for Jackson for February, with London likely to fall just a few degrees short. Gusty southwest winds continue to crank across the area with wind gusts up to 35 mph still likely occurring in our northern and western zones. Plan to let the lake wind advisory continue through the evening hours. With clear skies in place, we should see temperatures in the eastern valleys drop quickly as they decouple. Skies could stay mostly clear through a good chunk of the night, allowing lows in the eastern valleys to dip well into the 50s. Our western areas could stay fairly mixed tonight given the stronger gradient to the west. A cold front will work east across the Ohio river valley tonight into Wednesday and Wednesday night. Showers will be ongoing along the front throughout the period. As the front pushes east and southeast, the forcing along the front will be weak through Wednesday. However, enough convergence should be present to allow for good rain chances for most of the area. A shortwave riding northeast across the region may provide an uptick along the front late Wednesday night. While there will be instability developing Wednesday afternoon, model guidance is suggesting the better thunder chances may be Wednesday night with the shortwave providing some added lift. Models are likely overplaying dewpoints on Wednesday, accounting for the surface instability. Rain amounts through Wednesday night should remain under an inch and fairly spread out. Thus, no plans for any flood watches for our area. .LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 303 PM EST TUE FEB 20 2018 Long term discussion will follow shortly.
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&& .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon) ISSUED AT 1213 PM EST TUE FEB 20 2018 Gusty southerly winds will continue through early this evening and will be the main aviation concern. These winds will subside this evening as surface becomes decoupled. Conditions will remain mostly VFR through the period, although some mid level clouds could approach the area tomorrow morning along with some rain chances. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Lake Wind Advisory until 9 PM EST this evening for KYZ051-052- 060-079-080-083>085-106. && $$ SHORT TERM...KAS LONG TERM...HAL AVIATION...KAS

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