Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS63 KJKL 021900 CCA AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 300 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015 .SHORT TERM...
-- Changed Discussion --
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 300 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015 NOT MUCH CHANGE IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SLOWLY SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS. THIS WILL LIKELY KEEP THE CLOUDS AROUND THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL YIELD ANOTHER NIGHT OF STRATUS BUILD DOWN WITH SOME FOG PUSHING BACK ONTO THE RIDGES LATE TONIGHT. CLOUDS WILL HOLD TOUGH AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AND WILL LIKELY KEEP HIGHS ON THE COOL SIDE. PLAN TO GO WELL UNDER GUIDANCE AGAIN...AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO THE ONES WE SAW TODAY...PERHAPS JUST A FEW DEGREES WARMER. WHILE A FEW SHOWERS COULD POP UP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THERE AGAIN...LACK OF INSTABILITY COULD LIMIT AERIAL COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WITH MORE ISOLATED COVERAGE. MODELS HAVE BEEN HANDLING THE INSTABILITY... TEMPERATURES...AND CLOUD COVER POORLY...SO ITS HARD TO PUT FAITH ON ANY PRECIPITATION FORECAST FROM A MODEL. FOR NOW...GOING TO GO WITH ANOTHER CLOUDY NIGHT FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND ASSUME CLOUDS HANG ON. THIS WOULD PUT LOWS BACK INTO THE 50S FOR ANOTHER NIGHT. .LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 300 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015 THE STUBBORN UPPER LEVEL LOW WHICH HAS BEEN CONTROLLING OUR WEATHER WILL BE DRIFTING SOUTHEAST AT THE START OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. IT WILL EVENTUALLY OPEN UP AND DRIFT EAST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST ON FRIDAY...RELINQUISHING CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER. HOWEVER...AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE NORTHWESTERLY ON FRIDAY WITH RIDGING BUILDING IN THE PLAINS...WE WILL SEE A SHORT WAVE DIVE SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE OH VALLEY. AT THE SURFACE A COLD FRONT WILL DROP TOWARDS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT...AND THEN LIKELY STALL OUT SOMEWHERE TO OUR SOUTH BY SATURDAY NIGHT. BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND ANOTHER WAVE WILL BE WORKING ITS WAY TOWARDS THE OH VALLEY WITH THE FRONT LIFTING BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT...FOLLOWED BY YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEK. CONFIDENCE ON MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY AFFECTING OUR WEATHER IS GOOD...BUT TIMING ON THE INDIVIDUAL SHORT WAVES AND SURFACE FEATURES IN WHAT APPEARS TO BE A FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN FROM THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK IS BELOW AVERAGE. THE OVERALL PATTERN REQUIRES KEEPING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN THE FORECAST FROM THE END OF THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM AS THE UPPER LOW LOSES ITS GRIP ON OUR WEATHER.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 240 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015 A MIXTURE OF MVFR/IFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND LIKELY WELL INTO TOMORROW. CIGS TONIGHT SHOULD FALL BACK TO BELOW OR AROUND AIRPORT MINIMUMS WITH VISIBILITIES CRASHING ON THE RIDGES AS THE CLOUDS LOWER. MUCH LIKE TODAY...NOT MUCH IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY WITH ANOTHER DAY OF LOW OVERCAST SKIES. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...KAS LONG TERM...SBH AVIATION...KAS

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.