Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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350 FXUS63 KJKL 191932 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 332 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 332 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017 Afternoon surface analysis shows an area of high pressure off to the southwest with winds light out of the SW. This will keep much of the region under mostly sunny skies with a few CU or higher level clouds passing through. That said, a trough axis continues to move across the region, and this is leading the development of a few showers and thunderstorms to our northwest. Some of these could drop southeast into the Bluegrass and therefore kept the slight POPs going for a few more hours in the grids. These isolated storms will diminish late this afternoon and we will be left with mostly clear skies tonight. Models are in good agreement with heights rising in the wake of the previously mentioned trough and given the clearing skies kept at least patchy fog across a good portion of Eastern KY. Did opt to go areas in the deeper valley locations. The fog will burn off through the morning on Sunday. Then continued rising heights will lead to a mostly sunny day for Sunday, but a few afternoon CU will remain possible. These rising heights will combine with rising 850mb temperatures to send the temperatures into the upper 80s for most by Sunday afternoon. .LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday) Issued at 332 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017 Available Shortly... && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon) ISSUED AT 138 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017 An upper level trough is swinging across the Ohio Valley this afternoon. The lack of better moisture will lead to overall lack of coverage for showers this afternoon and continued to keep any mention out of the SYM TAF. Otherwise VFR conditions will be the story, with a few afternoon CU at around 5 kft. We will see mostly clear skies tonight and this will aid in fog development especially in the deeper valleys. That said, did opt to go with the MVFR fog toward 5Z at LOZ/SME and 8Z at SYM. Winds will continue to remain light through the TAF period. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...DJ LONG TERM...AR AVIATION...DJ

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