Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000 FXUS63 KJKL 280803 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 303 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014 .SHORT TERM...
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(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 303 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014 STUBBORN LOW CLOUDS CONTINUE TO HANG ON THIS MORNING. FINALLY STARTING TO SEE SOME SIGNS OF THEM BREAKING UP ACROSS CENTRAL KENTUCKY. BASED ON THE TRENDS...WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE THE CLEARING WORK EAST THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...RIGHT ON THE HEELS OF THIS CLOUD COVER IS MORE CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM FRONT PUSHING INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. WHILE THESE CLOUDS ARE MORE MID LEVEL...THEY SHOULD STILL ACT TO KEEP SKIES OVERCAST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA. BASED ON TIMING THE BACK EDGE OF CLOUDS...IT LOOKS LIKE WE WON`T CLEAR BACK OUT AGAIN FOR MOST AREAS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING. THUS...HAVE TRENDED COOLER WITH HIGHS TODAY. THE SOUTHWEST MAY SEE THE LONGEST PERIOD OF SUNSHINE AND MORE LIKELY TO SEE READINGS INTO THE LOWER 40S DOWN THAT WAY. OTHERWISE...LOOKING LIKE WE MAY SEE ANOTHER DAY WITH TEMPERATURES STUCK IN THE 30S FOR MOST AREAS. AS THE WARM FRONT EXITS NORTHEAST TONIGHT...SKIES SHOULD CLEAR BACK OUT. HOWEVER...DESPITE THE WARM FRONT...SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL LAG SIGNIFICANTLY...WHICH WILL SET UP A GOOD RIDGE VALLEY SPLIT TONIGHT. VALLEY LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY FALL TO AROUND 20 TONIGHT...WITH RIDGES STAYING CLOSER TO 30. CERTAINLY WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A LARGER SPLIT THAN THIS AS SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE...POSSIBLY KEEPING RIDGES MILDER. BY SATURDAY...LOOKS LIKE SOME CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AS ISENTROPIC ASCENT IN THE WAKE OF THE WARM FRONT REALLY RAMPS UP. THE BEST CLOUD COVER WILL BE BACK TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. MODELS MAY BE TOO AGGRESSIVE WITH THE CLOUD COVER INITIALLY...AS MOISTURE IS LIKELY TO INCREASE A BIT SLOWER THAN ADVERTISED. SHOULD BE A MILDER DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY) ISSUED AT 303 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014 LONG TERM DISCUSSION TO FOLLOW SHORTLY.
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&& .AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 117 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014 MVFR CIGS WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO VFR CONDITIONS FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE SOME BRIEF CLEARING COULD OCCUR ACROSS CENTRAL KENTUCKY...MID/HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS INTO THE AREA BY MIDDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY PREVENT MUCH CLEARING ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN KENTUCKY...BUT SHOULD STILL ALLOW CONDITIONS TO GO BACK TO VFR BY EARLY AFTERNOON JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE. VFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...KAS LONG TERM...ABE AVIATION...KAS

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