Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FXUS63 KJKL 041952
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
252 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 252 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS NOW SLIPPED INTO SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY AS
EVIDENCE BY WINDS GOING NORTH/NORTHWEST AND TEMPERATURES FALLING
ACROSS THE AREA. WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION
CONTINUES TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA. AS OF NOW...MOST OF THIS IS
RAIN. HOWEVER...JUST RECEIVED A REPORT OF SOME SLEET JUST NORTH IN
LEWIS COUNTY. THIS SEEMS TO BE MATCHING UP WELL WITH REPORTS OF
SLEET OCCURRING FIRST WITH THE INITIAL TRANSITION. GOING TO GO
WITH A MORE LIBERAL AREA OF SLEET/RAIN THIS EVENING AS WE COULD
SEE A LARGE RANGE IN TEMPERATURES SUPPORTING SLEET. FREEZING RAIN
LOOKS TO BE A SHORT DURATION IF IT OCCURS AS TEMPERATURES DROP
BELOW 32 TONIGHT. HOWEVER...AS THIS HAPPENS WE SHOULD THEN SEE A
QUICK TRANSITION TO SNOW. THIS IS BASICALLY HOW THINGS HAVE BEEN
DEVELOPING UPSTREAM TODAY. BASED ON THE CHANGEOVER TIMES AND
QPF...IT LOOKS LIKE SNOW AND ICE FORECAST ARE IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES PLANNED AT THIS TIME. THUS...NO
CHANGES EXPECTED WITH HEADLINES AND WILL LET EVERYTHING RIDE AS IS
FOR NOW. NEED FOR FLOOD WATCH MAY BE DIMINISHED BY LATER ON
TONIGHT AS EVERYTHING TRANSITIONS OVER TO FROZEN PRECIPITATION.

SNOW WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO THURSDAY...BUT WILL COME TO AN END
FROM LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL
THROUGH THE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON AS COLD ADVECTION
CONTINUES BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS COULD LEAD TO AN EARLY DAY HIGH.
HOWEVER...SOME SUNSHINE MAY PEAK THROUGH BY MID
AFTERNOON...PROVIDING A BRIEF JUMP UPWARDS WITH TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 252 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

LONG TERM DISCUSSION WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 107 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

LOW VISIBILITIES AND LOW CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN
KENTUCKY AS A COLD FRONT SLIPS SOUTHWARD THROUGH TONIGHT. A MIX OF
MVFR/IFR CIGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL CONTINUE WITH CONDITIONS
BECOMING LIFR AT TIMES. RAIN TODAY WILL ALSO TRANSITION OVER TO
SLEET AND SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WITH VISIBILITIES
WITHIN THE SNOW BEING SHARPLY REDUCED. THIS SNOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF IN THE AFTERNOON.


&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR KYZ044-050>052-058>060-
068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR KYZ044-050>052.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR KYZ058>060-104-
106-108-111.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY
FOR KYZ068-069-079-080-083>086-107-109-110-112>117-119-120.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY FOR KYZ087-088-118.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KAS
LONG TERM...JVM
AVIATION...KAS



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