Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS63 KJKL 052045 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 345 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016 .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 345 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016 THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WILL FEATURE BENIGN WEATHER AS EASTERN KENTUCKY WILL BE UNDER CONTROL OF WEAK SFC RIDGING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. CURRENTLY...TEMPS HAVE WARMED INTO THE LOW 40S WITH PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE. THERE IS SOME HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS MOVING INTO THE AREA BUT THESE CLOUDS WILL NOT HAVE ANY EFFECT ON TONIGHT/S LOW TEMPERATURES WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO GET INTO THE LOW AND MID 20S. TOMORROW...AN UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERN STREAM LOW WILL EJECT OUT OF TX AND PASS BY TO OUR SOUTH. AS THIS LOW APPROACHES THE REGION ...WE WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER THROUGHOUT THE DAY...THOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE STILL EXPECTED TO GET INTO THE UPPER 40S. TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT WON/T GET AS CHILLY DUE TO THE LINGERING CLOUDS...BUT WILL LIKELY STILL DIP INTO THE UPPER 20S. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY) ISSUED AT 347 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016 THE EXTENDED PERIOD SHOULD START OFF QUIETLY...AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STAYS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO END THE WEEKEND...WITH HIGHS ON SUNDAY TOPPING AROUND 50 ACROSS THE AREA. CLOUD COVER WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE STEADILY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY EVENING...AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BARRELS OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS TO BEGIN THE NEW WORK WEEK. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BRING RAIN AND SNOW TO EASTERN KENTUCKY FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE LATEST MODEL DATA SUGGESTS THAT THE FIRST PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY EARLY SUNDAY EVENING IN THE FORM OF RAIN. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MIX WITH SNOW OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S. THE PRECIP SHOULD TRANSITION OVER TO ALL RAIN DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...AS TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE LOW TO MID 40S ACROSS THE AREA. BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER...THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO SHIFT AROUND TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST...WHICH WILL ALLOW COLD AIR TO SPILL QUICKLY INTO THE REGION. THIS CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES CAUSE THE RAIN TO TRANSITION QUICKLY TO A RAIN SNOW MIX AND THEN ALL SNOW BY LATE MONDAY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY...AS THE COLD AIR BECOMES FIRMLY ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE REGION AND TEMPERATURES FALL TO AROUND FREEZING. SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE COULD BE PERIODS TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN RAIN MAY MIX WITH THE SNOW FROM TIME TO TIME. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TAPER OFF DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. THE HIGHEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG THE VIRGINIA BORDER. THE LAST BIT OF SNOW SHOULD BE EXITING EASTERN KENTUCKY EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE REST OF THE WEEK LOOKS TO DRY AND COLD. THE COLD TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY...AS HIGHS ON THAT DAY ARE ONLY FORECAST TO RISE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES ON FRIDAY...WITH HIGHS ON THAT DAY FORECAST TO MAX OUT IN THE LOW TO MID 40S. THE COLDEST NIGHTS IN THE EXTENDED WILL BE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WHEN THE MERCURY WILL LIKELY BOTTOM OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS BOTH NIGHTS. OTHERWISE WE SHOULD SEE LOWS IN THE 20S. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 120 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016 MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS HIGH PRESSURE PASSES OVER EASTERN KENTUCKY. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...JVM LONG TERM...AR AVIATION...JVM

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.