Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000 FXUS63 KJKL 261950 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 350 PM EDT Wed Oct 26 2016 .SHORT TERM...
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(This evening through Thursday night) Issued at 350 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2016 Available shortly... .LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday) Issued at 350 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2016 A upper level wave will be exiting to the east on Friday, as a surface high progresses east into the region. In the wake of this wave strong upper level ridging will build into the region. At the surface high pressure will build into the Carolinas and warm air advection will kick in on the backside. This ridging remains in place until we move toward Sunday, as a northern stream shortwave briefly suppresses the ridge. Then ridging quickly builds east with strong heights building all the way into the Great Lakes. Another northern stream wave will pass into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes by Monday night. A cold front will also progress east, but will become weak by the time it makes it east. Impacts for the period will be the above normal temps and dry weather for most of the period. The upper level wave on Sunday afternoon could bring a slight chance of a showers in the far east. However would be hesitant to go much more than slight given the dry antecedent conditions, lack of jet support, and lack of multiple model support. Before this ahead of this wave on Saturday will be a gusty day wind wise and could be something that needs to be watched fire weather wise. Otherwise the period will be met with well above normal temps, as we see highs in the mid 70s to even around 80 for most of the period. This will put several days especially Saturday and Tuesday into near to record highs. Matter of fact the record high for the month of November is only 82 degrees at Jackson and London and these could also be in jeopardy.
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&& .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon) ISSUED AT 150 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2016 VFR conditions will be experienced through the period. Southwest winds of between 5 and 10 knots will continue into early evening. Look for high and mid level clouds to begin to thicken late in the period. Some low level wind shear may develop ahead of an approaching cold front late this evening as winds die off at the TAF sites have included that in the TAFs. For Thursday, a mostly dry cold front will pass through with winds picking up to near 15 kts by early afternoon along with gusts to 20-25 kts. Do not foresee cigs below VFR during this or any real impact from convection. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...GREIF LONG TERM...DJ AVIATION...GREIF/KAS is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.