Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000 FXUS63 KJKL 211918 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 318 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015 .SHORT TERM...
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(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 318 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015 CURRENT CONDITIONS ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY FEATURE CONTINUED LOW LEVEL CLOUD COVER AND EVEN A FEW AREAS OF DRIZZLE. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THEN WITH NORTHWEST FLOW BRINGING RIDGING AND RESULTANT CLEARING IN CENTRAL IL AND NORTHERN IN...THESE CLEARING SKIES WILL EVENTUALLY MAKE IT INTO EAST KENTUCKY LATE TONIGHT TOWARDS DAWN. THE CLOUD COVER HAS KEPT MAX TEMPS DOWN FROM THE DAY AND THEREFORE WILL DROP INTO THE LOWER 40S LATE TONIGHT. WITH DEW POINTS STILL IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S UPSTREAM...TEMPS WILL LIKELY FALL LATE TONIGHT TO THEIR DEW POINTS IN MANY LOCATIONS AND WITH THE LIGHT WINDS...DENSE FOG IS LIKELY TO BE AN ISSUE TOWARDS DAWN TONIGHT. WILL BE PUTTING THIS IN THE HWO AND ALLOWING THE EVENING OR EVEN THE NIGHT SHIFT DECIDE IF AN SPS IS NEEDED. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THE AREA NEVER CLEARS OUT AND STAYS OVERCAST INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BUT WILL GO WITH THE CLEARING SCENARIO LATE TONIGHT. THE COOLER AIR MASS IN PLACE WILL MAKE FOR A DRY AND COOL DAY FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS ONLY MAKING IT INTO THE LOWER 70S. ALSO TOMORROW AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE ENTERING FROM THE WEST...A WEAK TROUGH WILL BE PASSING BY TO THE NORTHEAST. GIVEN THE RIDGING MOVING IN FROM THE WEST...AND WHAT THE SREF AND NAM ARE ADVERTISING...ANY PRECIP WILL REMAIN TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW CLOUDS AND WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL AGAIN FEATURE PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS AS THE COOLER AIR MASS MODIFIES AND MIN TEMPS RETURN TO NORMAL. CLOUD COVER SATURDAY MORNING SHOULD HINDER ANY SIGNIFICANT FOG DEVELOPMENT. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY) ISSUED AT 320 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015 THE LONG TERM DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.
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&& .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015 EXPECT IFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD COVER AND LINGERING MOISTURE KEEPING POOR CONDITIONS INTO THIS EVENING. WITH THE EXCEPTION TO A FEW AREAS OF DRIZZLE REMAINING AND EVEN A SHOWER OR TWO...CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT A BIT WITH SOME LIFTING CEILINGS TO AT LEAST MVFR AND EVENING CLEAR OUT BY 06Z. HOWEVER...WITH LIFTING CEILINGS...DENSE FOG WILL SOCK IN THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND CONDITIONS WILL REACH BELOW MINS AT MANY LOCATIONS BY THE PREDAWN HOURS. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE WEST AND NORTHWEST THE ENTIRE PERIOD BUT BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE TONIGHT. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...SHALLENBERGER LONG TERM...JMW AVIATION...SHALLENBERGER

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