Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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000 FXUS61 KLWX 020756 CCA AFDLWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 356 AM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015 .SYNOPSIS...
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A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM DELAWARE TO GEORGIA. LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AND REMAIN NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORKWEEK. HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE INTO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.
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&& .NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
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SFC ANLYS SHOWS A WK BNDRY XTNDG FM SRN NJ...TRACKING E OF THE BLU RDG/ APLCHNS SWD TO GA. THIS WL KEEP THE MID ATLC IN CLDS TDA...BUT FOR THE TIME BEING THE 1ST ROUND OF MDT/HVY RA HAS MOVED TO THE N. PDS OF RA WL BE PSBL TDA...BUT THANKFULLY THESE SHOULD BE LGT GIVEN THE FACT THAT BOTH DCA AND BWI BROKE RAFL RECORDS FOR 6/1. AFTR A PD OF VERY WARM TEMPS TDA SHOULD BE BLO NRML W/ HIGHS IN THE U60S/L70S.
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&& .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
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TNGT AGN LOOKS WET W/ THE BNDRY RMNG OVR THE MID ATLC. HIGH PRES OVR NEW ENGLAND WL CREATE SOMEWHAT OF A DAMMING SITU ACROSS THE MID ATLC. ERLY LO LVL FLOW WL FUNNEL MOISTURE FM THE ATLC. HV INCRSD POPS TO CAT E OF THE MTNS. IT IS CERTAINLY PSBL THAT A FLD OR FLASH FLD WATCH WL NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR LATE TNGT/WED. LOWS RANGING FM THE M50S TO THE LM60S.
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&& .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
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MID-UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW OVER ERN TN WILL MOVE SLOWLY ENE WHILE WEAKENING. SFC BDRY WILL REMAIN DRAPED ALONG THE COAST AND ACROSS NV/VA BORDER. WARM MOIST AIR BEING LIFTED ABOVE SHALLOW COOL AIR AND HIGHLY DIFFLUENT UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER ROUND OF MDT TO HEAVY RAIN WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN LIKELY ACROSS NRN AND CNTRL VA WED AND THU. HEAVIEST RAINS EXPECTED OVER ALBERMARLE...NELSON COUNTIES AND THE INTERSTATE 64 CORRIDOR. FLOODING IS AGAIN POSSIBLE BUT GIVEN RELATIVELY LULL EXPECTED TODAY NO FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED AT THIS TIME. CLOSED LOW WEAKENS BY FRI AND SFC BDRY BEGINS TO WASH OUT. MID- LEVEL DRYING WILL BEGIN TO GET ENTRAINED INTO THE CWA BEGINNING THU NIGHT ENDING THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT BUT CLOUDY AND SHOWERY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
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&& .AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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NEXT 24 HRS OF THE FCST WL FEATURE XTNSV CLD CVR...MOST LKLY IN THE MVFR RNG BUT PSBLY DROPPING LOWER. PDS OF RA AREA PSBL TDA... W/ INCRSG LIKELIHOOD LATE TNGT. MVFR AND POSSIBLE EVEN IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WED AND THU IN MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS. CONDITIONS IMPROVE SOMEWHAT FRI INTO THE WEEKEND BUT CLOUDS WILL BE PLENTIFUL.
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&& .MARINE...
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NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE MARYLAND CHESAPEAKE BAY AND LOWER TIDAL POTOMAC DURING THIS TIME.
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&& .LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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DC...NONE. MD...NONE. VA...NONE. WV...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ530>534-537>543. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ536.
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&& $$ PRODUCTS...WOODY!/LFR

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