Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 241441
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Cottonwood River Prairie SNA...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
941 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the Cottonwood River Prairie SNA, skies will be
mostly sunny today with a few high clouds moving through from
west to east midday. This will allow highs today to be in the mid
60s. Dry conditions are expected, with relative humidity values
forecasted to be in 50s this morning before dropping into the mid
to upper 20s by the afternoon. Winds will be light and generally southerly
at 5-10 MPH.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........48 at ignition...Max 64.
RH..................58 percent at ignition...Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 8 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /16100 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /63300 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  52  55  57  61  62  63  64  63  63  59  54
RH..............58  50  47  40  33  31  29  28  29  29  33  41
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   6   7   8   7   9   9   9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.12  10  10  9   9   10  10  12  12  13  13  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 3.5 4.6 5.4 5.8 6.4 6.8 7.0 6.8 5.9 0.7 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   8   7   7   8   9   10  12  13  12  13
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Temperature.........Min 46.
RH..................Max 63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (68100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Temperature.........Max 69.
RH..................Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 21 mph increasing to 22
                    to 23 mph late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Dye
Requested by...Brad Bolduan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412268.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Brad.Bolduan@state.mn.us


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