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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FXUS64 KMRX 231323
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
925 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...CONVECTION GETTING AN EARLY START TODAY MAINLY IN THE
LAKEWAY AREA...WITH THIS ACTIVITY MOVING SLOWLY SE INTO COCKE...
BLOUNT AND SEVIER COUNTIES. SPC MESO PAGE SHOWS THIS AREA OF LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND ANOTHER LARGER AREA ACROSS WRN NC. 12Z OHX/RNK
SOUNDINGS SHOW PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...AHEAD OF THE
SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.

FORECAST POPS A LITTLE LOW THIS MORNING...BUT THE INCREASING POPS
FOR THE AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT LOOK ON TRACK PER LATEST SHORT RANGE
MODELS. WILL MONITOR RADAR TRENDS OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...TO SEE
IF LOW END OF LIKELY POPS MAY BE JUSTIFIED IN SOME AREAS FOR THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             89  70  86  67 /  50  50  50  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  88  69  84  65 /  50  60  60  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       89  69  83  64 /  50  70  50  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              89  67  81  60 /  50  70  60  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG

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