Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 030111 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 910 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015 .DISCUSSION...
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ACTIVE CONVECTION FROM OK TO AR TO TN/KY THIS EVENING. ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR THE SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO HOLD TOGETHER AND MOVE SE ACROSS LIKELY ALL BUT THE FAR NE CORNER OF E TN AND SW VA. THE RAP/HRRR HAS BEEN A LITTLE INCONSISTENT FROM HOUR TO HOUR...BUT ALSO SUGGESTS PRETTY GOOD COVERAGE ACROSS THE BULK OF E TN AND SW NC OVERNIGHT. OHX`S NRN PLATEAU COUNTIES GETTING HOURLY RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR...SO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE IN A FEW SPOTS OVERNIGHT AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCH LOOKS GOOD GIVEN THE LOW 1 AND 3 HOUR FFG VALUES OVER PLATEAU AND SE TN COUNTIES. WILL CONSIDER LOWERING POPS SLIGHTLY FOR SW VA IN AN UPDATE OF GRIDS BY AROUND 10 TO 1030 PM EDT. HOURLY TEMP AND DEW POINT TEMP GRIDS LOOK ON TRACK.
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&& .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY. TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR ANDERSON-BLEDSOE- BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-HANCOCK- HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-MEIGS- MORGAN-NW BLOUNT-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-RHEA-ROANE-SCOTT TN- SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST CARTER- SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION- WASHINGTON TN-WEST POLK. VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR LEE-RUSSELL-SCOTT- WASHINGTON-WISE. && $$ TG

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